CAJ | 학술논문

在已知人为热释放、风速、日照时数和相对湿度的前提下，以芜湖市为例，运用灰色关联分析求出以上四个影响因素对行为因子（城市热岛效应）的关联影响程度，算出日照时数在四个环境因子中的比重，从而将白色屋顶计划对城市热岛效应的作用量化，建立了灰色预测模型。通过回归分析计算白屋顶计划对城市温度的影响，最后将预测数据与真实数据进行对比，模型结果表明“白屋顶计划”是合理且可行的。
재이지인위열석방、풍속、일조시수화상대습도적전제하，이무호시위례，운용회색관련분석구출이상사개영향인소대행위인자（성시열도효응）적관련영향정도，산출일조시수재사개배경인자중적비중，종이장백색옥정계화대성시열도효응적작용양화，건립료회색예측모형。통과회귀분석계산백옥정계화대성시온도적영향，최후장예측수거여진실수거진행대비，모형결과표명“백옥정계화”시합리차가행적。
In order to solve the urban heat island effect, Aiming at high efficiency, low cost and easier implementation, a grey relational analysis is proposed based on the“white roof plan”.In this paper, taking Wuhu city as an example, release, wind speed in the known anthropogenic heat, condition number and relative humidity of sunshine, we first use the grey correlation analy-sis to find the four factors ( anthropogenic heat release rate, wind speed, solar radiation, relative humidity) on behavior factor ( ur-ban heat island effect) correlation degree of influence, and calculate the sunshine hours in four environmental factors in the propor-tion, which will be white roof plan to quantify the role of urban heat island effect, and then establish the gray forecast model.Fi-nally, the prediction data and the real data experiments are compared .The simulation results show that the "white roof plan"is feasible and reasonable.