CAJ | 학술논문

通过对三种测算方法的比较分析，我们采用索洛余值法测算2006－2015年煤炭行业科技进步贡献率。经过数据的收集处理、回归分析以及参数计算，得出“十一五”期间和“十二五”期末的煤炭科技进步贡献率分别为24.49％和37.82％。2015年煤炭科技进步贡献率为46.60％。其结果大体符合我国煤炭行业的发展形势，能够反映煤炭科技进步贡献率的整体状况。
통과대삼충측산방법적비교분석，아문채용색락여치법측산2006－2015년매탄행업과기진보공헌솔。경과수거적수집처리、회귀분석이급삼수계산，득출“십일오”기간화“십이오”기말적매탄과기진보공헌솔분별위24.49％화37.82％。2015년매탄과기진보공헌솔위46.60％。기결과대체부합아국매탄행업적발전형세，능구반영매탄과기진보공헌솔적정체상황。
The contribution rate of scientific and technological progress is a comprehensive index which reflects science and technology progress,and has significant referential meaning of long-term developing trend and the relationship between economic growth with science and tech-nology progress,labor and capital. Through comparative analysis of three calculation methods, we used solow residual method to calculate the coal industry contribution rate of scientific and technological progress in 2006-2015. It is concluded that the contribution rate of scientific and technological progress during the period of 1 1th five-year plan and the end of 12th five-year plan are 24.49% and 37.82% respectively. The predicted contribution rate of scientific and technolog-ical progress is 46.60% in 2015. The results generally conform to the development situation of coal industry in our country and reflect the overall condition of contribution rate of scientific and technological progress in coal industry.