技术经济与管理研究
技術經濟與管理研究
기술경제여관리연구
TECHNOECONOMICS & MANAGEMENT RESEARCH
2015年
7期
24-27
,共4页
多期支付%技术创新%风险管理%企业管理
多期支付%技術創新%風險管理%企業管理
다기지부%기술창신%풍험관리%기업관리
Multi-stage payment%Technological innovation%Risk management%Enterprise management
文章基于保险公司与科技型中小企业之间的风险分担博弈模型,对科技型中小企业同时存在道德风险和逆向选择时,保险公司所要采取的动态激励进行了分析研究。通过博弈论和委托—代理理论,讨论了存在两阶段动态博弈时,保险公司可以通过观察第一年内的违约频率来估计未来承保期可能的损失,并判断科技型中小企业采取的最优努力水平,以决定是否继续发放贷款以及后一阶段的保费。保险公司和银行可以通过监控科技型中小企业的历史经营数据等内部数据以及纳税记录、客户反馈等外部数据,以改善金融机构与科技型中小企业间信息不对称的格局,清晰地甄别出企业的风险状况,为制定差异化保险费率和发放贷款数额提供数据支持。该研究对保险公司制定费率有一定的理论意义。
文章基于保險公司與科技型中小企業之間的風險分擔博弈模型,對科技型中小企業同時存在道德風險和逆嚮選擇時,保險公司所要採取的動態激勵進行瞭分析研究。通過博弈論和委託—代理理論,討論瞭存在兩階段動態博弈時,保險公司可以通過觀察第一年內的違約頻率來估計未來承保期可能的損失,併判斷科技型中小企業採取的最優努力水平,以決定是否繼續髮放貸款以及後一階段的保費。保險公司和銀行可以通過鑑控科技型中小企業的歷史經營數據等內部數據以及納稅記錄、客戶反饋等外部數據,以改善金融機構與科技型中小企業間信息不對稱的格跼,清晰地甄彆齣企業的風險狀況,為製定差異化保險費率和髮放貸款數額提供數據支持。該研究對保險公司製定費率有一定的理論意義。
문장기우보험공사여과기형중소기업지간적풍험분담박혁모형,대과기형중소기업동시존재도덕풍험화역향선택시,보험공사소요채취적동태격려진행료분석연구。통과박혁론화위탁—대리이론,토론료존재량계단동태박혁시,보험공사가이통과관찰제일년내적위약빈솔래고계미래승보기가능적손실,병판단과기형중소기업채취적최우노력수평,이결정시부계속발방대관이급후일계단적보비。보험공사화은행가이통과감공과기형중소기업적역사경영수거등내부수거이급납세기록、객호반궤등외부수거,이개선금융궤구여과기형중소기업간신식불대칭적격국,청석지견별출기업적풍험상황,위제정차이화보험비솔화발방대관수액제공수거지지。해연구대보험공사제정비솔유일정적이론의의。
Based on the risk-sharing contract model between the insurer and the small and medium-sized S&T enterprise(Tech SME), this article analyzes the dynamic incentive mechanism that should be taken by the insurance company when moral hazard and adverse selection exist in Tech SME at the same time. This paper discusses two-stages dynamic game exists in risk sharing by the game and prin-cipal-agent theory. Then the insurer can predict the loss distribution of next year according to the default frequency occurs in one year, and can judge optimal effort level of the Tech SME, then can decide whether to continue the loans or the next premium. The insurance companies and banks could reduce the information asymmetry between the financial institutions and the Tech SME, and also could identify clearly the risk status of the enterprise by monitoring internal data and external data of the Tech SME such as history management data, tax records, as well as customer feedback, which could provide data support to make different premium rate and the amount of loans for the financial institutions. It could provide further theoretical foundation for the insurer who designs the reasonable incentive contract.