国防科技大学学报
國防科技大學學報
국방과기대학학보
JOURNAL OF NATIONAL UNIVERSITY OF DEFENSE TECHNOLOGY
2015年
3期
173-178
,共6页
张鹏%陈彬%孟荣清%张烙兵%邱晓刚
張鵬%陳彬%孟榮清%張烙兵%邱曉剛
장붕%진빈%맹영청%장락병%구효강
人工社会建模%模型管理%应急管理
人工社會建模%模型管理%應急管理
인공사회건모%모형관리%응급관리
artificial society modeling%model management%emergency management
基于人工社会的计算实验使应急管理的定量分析与研究成为可能。然而,应急管理模型涉及多个学科与领域,具有多层次、非线性和多粒度等特点,需要一套规范的流程来指导人工社会的模型建立和模型管理。论文梳理了面向应急管理的模型体系,提出了基于领域特定建模的人工社会建模方法,解决了多领域建模问题;研究了模型的形式化描述与编码问题,并实现了模型的有效管理;结合“甲型H1N1”病程模型,详细论述了模型的构建方法与管理问题,为面向应急管理的计算实验提供一体化的模型服务。
基于人工社會的計算實驗使應急管理的定量分析與研究成為可能。然而,應急管理模型涉及多箇學科與領域,具有多層次、非線性和多粒度等特點,需要一套規範的流程來指導人工社會的模型建立和模型管理。論文梳理瞭麵嚮應急管理的模型體繫,提齣瞭基于領域特定建模的人工社會建模方法,解決瞭多領域建模問題;研究瞭模型的形式化描述與編碼問題,併實現瞭模型的有效管理;結閤“甲型H1N1”病程模型,詳細論述瞭模型的構建方法與管理問題,為麵嚮應急管理的計算實驗提供一體化的模型服務。
기우인공사회적계산실험사응급관리적정량분석여연구성위가능。연이,응급관리모형섭급다개학과여영역,구유다층차、비선성화다립도등특점,수요일투규범적류정래지도인공사회적모형건립화모형관리。논문소리료면향응급관리적모형체계,제출료기우영역특정건모적인공사회건모방법,해결료다영역건모문제;연구료모형적형식화묘술여편마문제,병실현료모형적유효관리;결합“갑형H1N1”병정모형,상세논술료모형적구건방법여관리문제,위면향응급관리적계산실험제공일체화적모형복무。
Computational experiments based on artificial society make it possible to study and quantitatively analyze the emergency management process.However,emergency management refers to multi-disciplines and multi-domain,and models have the characteristics of multi-hierarchy,nonlinearity and multi-granularity,so a standard workflow is needed to guide the modeling development and management of artificial society.The model architecture of emergency management was carded,and the artificial society modeling method based on domain specific modeling was introduced to solve the multi-domain modeling problems.Moreover,the formal description methods as well as model encoding were implemented,which promoted the effective management of models.The development methods and management problems were discussed in details in the case study of H1N1 models,which provided the integrative model services for computational experiments oriented to emergency management.