CAJ | 학술논문

针对地采诱发建筑物损害预测中指标与建筑物损害的关系不确定性问题，综合应用相关分析法、鱼骨图理论及SVM原理构建地采诱发建筑物损害的分析模型。采用相关分析法及原因型鱼骨图模型分析指标与建筑物损害的关联度，计算各因素权重，用建筑物损害观测数据对指标加权的SVM模型进行训练和测试，测试结果良好。研究结果表明：鱼骨图模型可获得指标与建筑物损害的关系，量化输入指标的重要性；建筑物本身条件中与空区位置、建筑物状况的重要性明显高于其他指标，加大建筑物本身建设，可较好地改善建筑物抗损害能力；基于鱼骨图的SVM分析模型可以更好地考虑各指标对建筑物损害的综合影响，回估误判率较低。
침대지채유발건축물손해예측중지표여건축물손해적관계불학정성문제，종합응용상관분석법、어골도이론급SVM원리구건지채유발건축물손해적분석모형。채용상관분석법급원인형어골도모형분석지표여건축물손해적관련도，계산각인소권중，용건축물손해관측수거대지표가권적SVM모형진행훈련화측시，측시결과량호。연구결과표명：어골도모형가획득지표여건축물손해적관계，양화수입지표적중요성；건축물본신조건중여공구위치、건축물상황적중요성명현고우기타지표，가대건축물본신건설，가교호지개선건축물항손해능력；기우어골도적SVM분석모형가이경호지고필각지표대건축물손해적종합영향，회고오판솔교저。
In view of the uncertain relationships among indexes and buildings damage in mining-induced damage predic-ting,and combining with the characteristics of correlation analysis,fishbone diagram,and SVM,the analysis model for mining-induced buildings damage was established. Correlation analysis theory and fishbone diagram were used to analyze the correla-tions,and calculate the indexes′weights. The SVM model were trained and tested by a series of data from observations of min-ing-induced and damage degree of buildings,and the test results was good. The results show that the fishbone diagram can ob-tain the relationships between indexes and buildings′damage,and the importance of the quantified index;The building′s own conditions including its position in Gob and building conditions are more important than others obviously,and increasing the construction of building foundation can well improve the destruction resistance of buildings;SVM model based on fishbone dia-gram can better consider the effect of each index on damage degree induced by mining-induced,and get a lower ratio of mis-discrimination.