广东电力
廣東電力
엄동전력
GUANGDONG ELECTRIC POWER
2015年
6期
87-92
,共6页
钟声%余晓峰%吴海泉%卢启付%王宇%廖嘉骏%阳林%张晓东
鐘聲%餘曉峰%吳海泉%盧啟付%王宇%廖嘉駿%暘林%張曉東
종성%여효봉%오해천%로계부%왕우%료가준%양림%장효동
电力变压器%成本敏感度%成本估算%成本建模%多重回归分析
電力變壓器%成本敏感度%成本估算%成本建模%多重迴歸分析
전력변압기%성본민감도%성본고산%성본건모%다중회귀분석
electric transformer%cost sensitivity%cost estimation%cost modeling%multiple regression analysis
为探讨变压器采购的经济性,以220 kV 电力变压器为研究对象,在对国内主流生产厂家进行大量调研后,确定了变压器的成本构成要素,并以多种典型配置的部件占总成本百分比的算术平均值作为变压器各部件的成本敏感度,分析了国产和合资厂家变压器成本敏感度的异同。通过与传统的容量增长定律法对比,采用多重回归分析方法,在确定电压等级、容量、噪声和短路阻抗的前提下,通过输入空、负载损耗,得出材料用量,从而建立了220 kV 变压器成本估算模型,可指导电网物资采购靶心价格的确定和评价。
為探討變壓器採購的經濟性,以220 kV 電力變壓器為研究對象,在對國內主流生產廠傢進行大量調研後,確定瞭變壓器的成本構成要素,併以多種典型配置的部件佔總成本百分比的算術平均值作為變壓器各部件的成本敏感度,分析瞭國產和閤資廠傢變壓器成本敏感度的異同。通過與傳統的容量增長定律法對比,採用多重迴歸分析方法,在確定電壓等級、容量、譟聲和短路阻抗的前提下,通過輸入空、負載損耗,得齣材料用量,從而建立瞭220 kV 變壓器成本估算模型,可指導電網物資採購靶心價格的確定和評價。
위탐토변압기채구적경제성,이220 kV 전력변압기위연구대상,재대국내주류생산엄가진행대량조연후,학정료변압기적성본구성요소,병이다충전형배치적부건점총성본백분비적산술평균치작위변압기각부건적성본민감도,분석료국산화합자엄가변압기성본민감도적이동。통과여전통적용량증장정율법대비,채용다중회귀분석방법,재학정전압등급、용량、조성화단로조항적전제하,통과수입공、부재손모,득출재료용량,종이건립료220 kV 변압기성본고산모형,가지도전망물자채구파심개격적학정화평개。
In order to discuss economy of purchasing transformers,taking 220 kV electric transformer for research object, cost constitution elements of the transformer were confirmed. Arithmetic mean value of percentages of components of sever-al typical configuration from the total cost was regarded as cost sensitivity of various components of the transformer for ana-lyzing similarities and differences of cost sensitivities of domestic and joint venture manufacturers. By comparing with tradi-tional law of capacity growth method,using multiple regression analysis method and on the premise of ensuring voltage lev-el,capacity,noise and short-circuit impedance,material utilization amount was obtained by inputting no-load loss and load loss so as to establish a cost estimation model for 220 kV transformer which was useful to guide determination and estimation on purchasing target price of power grid materials.