CAJ | 학술논문

目前，商品住房价格的溢出问题引起了全社会的广泛关注。以珠三角地区9个城市2004－2013年的商品住房价格数据为基础，研究城市之间商品住房价格的溢出效应；采用Moran’s I指数检验了珠三角城市间商品住房价格的空间效应；构建空间计量模型进一步对样本城市间商品住房价格溢出效应进行研究。结果表明：珠三角重点城市商品住房价格之间存在显著的空间相关性，且广州、深圳、珠海3个核心城市对区域内其他城市的住房价格具有显著影响。
목전，상품주방개격적일출문제인기료전사회적엄범관주。이주삼각지구9개성시2004－2013년적상품주방개격수거위기출，연구성시지간상품주방개격적일출효응；채용Moran’s I지수검험료주삼각성시간상품주방개격적공간효응；구건공간계량모형진일보대양본성시간상품주방개격일출효응진행연구。결과표명：주삼각중점성시상품주방개격지간존재현저적공간상관성，차엄주、심수、주해3개핵심성시대구역내기타성시적주방개격구유현저영향。
Based on the 2004-2013 data of the commodity residential house prices of nine cities in the Pearl River Delta ,on the basis of study of the Pearl River Delta cities commodity housing price spillover effect .Using Moran's I index ,we examine the space between the Pearl River Delta cities commodity housing price effect ,to support the existence of spillover effects .And through the spatial econometric model further studied the sample cities housing prices's spillover mechanism .The results showed that the Pearl River Delta cities commodity housing price exists significant spatial correlation ,and of Guangzhou , Shenzhen ,Zhuhai area has a significant impact on other cities's housing prices .