科技进步与对策
科技進步與對策
과기진보여대책
SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY PROGRESS AND POLICY
2015年
12期
45-49
,共5页
城镇化%高技术产业集聚%Moran’s I指数%空间溢出效应%空间面板模型
城鎮化%高技術產業集聚%Moran’s I指數%空間溢齣效應%空間麵闆模型
성진화%고기술산업집취%Moran’s I지수%공간일출효응%공간면판모형
Urbanization%High-tech Industries%Moran's I Index%Spatial Spillover Effect%Spatial Panel Data Model
采用 M oran’s I指数方法分析了我国省域城镇化水平的空间分布特征,并通过构建空间面板数据模型,实证分析了我国高技术产业集聚对城镇化水平的影响。结果表明:我国高技术产业集聚和城镇化水平具有明显的不平衡性与集中性,并表现为大体一致的从东部向中西部地区梯次递减的分布特征;全国省域城镇化率具有显著的空间正相关性;高技术产业集聚能够促进本地城镇化率的提高,并能通过城镇化率的正向空间溢出效应推动邻近地区城镇化率的提高,有利于缩小区域间城镇化水平的差距。
採用 M oran’s I指數方法分析瞭我國省域城鎮化水平的空間分佈特徵,併通過構建空間麵闆數據模型,實證分析瞭我國高技術產業集聚對城鎮化水平的影響。結果錶明:我國高技術產業集聚和城鎮化水平具有明顯的不平衡性與集中性,併錶現為大體一緻的從東部嚮中西部地區梯次遞減的分佈特徵;全國省域城鎮化率具有顯著的空間正相關性;高技術產業集聚能夠促進本地城鎮化率的提高,併能通過城鎮化率的正嚮空間溢齣效應推動鄰近地區城鎮化率的提高,有利于縮小區域間城鎮化水平的差距。
채용 M oran’s I지수방법분석료아국성역성진화수평적공간분포특정,병통과구건공간면판수거모형,실증분석료아국고기술산업집취대성진화수평적영향。결과표명:아국고기술산업집취화성진화수평구유명현적불평형성여집중성,병표현위대체일치적종동부향중서부지구제차체감적분포특정;전국성역성진화솔구유현저적공간정상관성;고기술산업집취능구촉진본지성진화솔적제고,병능통과성진화솔적정향공간일출효응추동린근지구성진화솔적제고,유리우축소구역간성진화수평적차거。
Based on methods of M oran's I index ,this paper analyzes the distribution characteristic of provincial urbanization in China .Then an empirical analysis is made on the effects of high‐tech industrial agglomeration and other factors on pro‐vincial urbanization in China by using spatial panel data models .The results show that :The spatial distribution of high‐tech industrial agglomeration and provincial urbanization level show distinct imbalance and concentration ,and they illus‐trate generally similar features of declined echelon from the eastern to the middle ,and then to the western regions .There is a significantly positive spatial autocorrelation in the rate of provincial urbanization in China . High‐tech industrial ag‐glomeration can improve the rate of provincial urbanization ,and promote the rate of neighborhood provincial urbanization grow th through the positive spatial spillover effect of the rate of provincial urbanization ,w hich helps to reduce the regional disparity in the level of urbanization betw een districts .