CAJ | 학술논문

【目的】研究1978－2013年贵州省农村居民的边际消费倾向。【方法】以改革开放以来贵州省农村居民收入结构和消费需求数据为基础，通过构建区域消费的状态空间模型，对贵州省农村居民消费情况进行了计量分析。【结果】1978－2013年贵州省农村居民的边际消费倾向波动轨迹大体呈现出不规则的“W”形，且拥有不同收入结构居民的边际消费倾向也存在一定的差异。【结论】应根据农村居民不同收入结构采取不同刺激消费措施；要加大政府对“三农”的投入力度，推进城镇化建设、促进农村剩余劳动力转移；要进一步改革收入分配制度，完善初次分配和再分配机制。
【목적】연구1978－2013년귀주성농촌거민적변제소비경향。【방법】이개혁개방이래귀주성농촌거민수입결구화소비수구수거위기출，통과구건구역소비적상태공간모형，대귀주성농촌거민소비정황진행료계량분석。【결과】1978－2013년귀주성농촌거민적변제소비경향파동궤적대체정현출불규칙적“W”형，차옹유불동수입결구거민적변제소비경향야존재일정적차이。【결론】응근거농촌거민불동수입결구채취불동자격소비조시；요가대정부대“삼농”적투입력도，추진성진화건설、촉진농촌잉여노동력전이；요진일보개혁수입분배제도，완선초차분배화재분배궤제。
[Objective]In order to study the rural residents'marginal propensity to consume inGuizhou province in 19 78-20 13 .[Method]Based on income structure and consumption demanddata since 19 78,the state space model of regional consumption was built to conduct a econometricanalysis on the rural residents'marginal propensity to consume in Guizhou province.[Results]Measurement results show that the trail of rural residents'marginal propensity to consume inGuizhou province from 19 78 to 20 13 generally presents the irregular "W"shape,and residents ofdifferent income structure,have different marginal propensity to consume.[Conclusion]Based onthese analysis,this paper puts forward the following Suggestions:first,different measuresshould be taken to stimulate consumption according to different income structure of rural residents;Second,the government should increase the investment of "agriculture,rural areas andfarmers",improve urbanization construction,and promote the transfer of rural surplus labor;Finally,further reform of income distribution system should be promote to perfect the mechanism ofprimary distribution and redistribution,etc.