CAJ | 학술논문

【目的】对气候变化背景下湿地生态系统的适应度进行评价，以期为湿地管理决策提供参考，推动湿地的可持续建设。【方法】选取湿地水资源、生态和社会经济系统作为盘锦湿地适应度评价的子系统，并据此构建评价指标体系，再利用层次分析法确定指标权重，运用模糊综合评价法确定适应度。【结果】盘锦湿地2000－2012年整体适应能力一般，处于中等水平状态，呈波动增长趋势，各子系统适应能力差距较大。其中生态子系统与整体发展类似，受不利因素影响程度很大；水资源子系统适应能力较弱，处于中等偏差状态，受不利因素影响程度较大；社会经济子系统处于逐步适应状态，发展较好，受不利因素影响程度较小。【结论】盘锦湿地亟须加强适应性管理，提高适应能力。
【목적】대기후변화배경하습지생태계통적괄응도진행평개，이기위습지관리결책제공삼고，추동습지적가지속건설。【방법】선취습지수자원、생태화사회경제계통작위반금습지괄응도평개적자계통，병거차구건평개지표체계，재이용층차분석법학정지표권중，운용모호종합평개법학정괄응도。【결과】반금습지2000－2012년정체괄응능력일반，처우중등수평상태，정파동증장추세，각자계통괄응능력차거교대。기중생태자계통여정체발전유사，수불리인소영향정도흔대；수자원자계통괄응능력교약，처우중등편차상태，수불리인소영향정도교대；사회경제자계통처우축보괄응상태，발전교호，수불리인소영향정도교소。【결론】반금습지극수가강괄응성관리，제고괄응능력。
[Obj ective]The aim of the study was to evaluate the adaption of wetland ecosystem toclimate change.This can provide references for decision-making in wetland management and thesustainable construction of wetland.[Method]The water resource,ecological,social and economicsystems were used as the subsystems to evaluate of the adaption of Panj in wetland to climatechange.Based on the built indicator system of assessment,the determinative weight valuesof the factors were determined using the AHP analytical method.Fuzzy comprehension evaluationmethod was used to determine the adaption values.[Results]Adaption ability of Panj in wetlandwas in medium level.There was a significant differences between subsystems.Among these,theadaption of ecological system was greatly affected by negative factors which were similar to thewhole.The adaption of water resource system was also greatly affected by negative factors andthis subsystem was in a poorer state.However,social and economic systems were less affected bynegative factors and gradually adapt to climate change.[Conclusion]To improve the adaption ofPanj in wetland to climate change,adaptive management is needed badly.