安徽电气工程职业技术学院学报
安徽電氣工程職業技術學院學報
안휘전기공정직업기술학원학보
JOURNAL OF ANHUI ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING PROFESSIONAL TECHNIQUE COLLEGE
2015年
z1期
6-12
,共7页
连锁故障%可靠性模型%风险评估%预警%脆弱性分析
連鎖故障%可靠性模型%風險評估%預警%脆弱性分析
련쇄고장%가고성모형%풍험평고%예경%취약성분석
cascading failures%reliability model%risk assessment%forewarning%vulnerability analysis
研究连锁故障对防御大电网停电事故具有重要意义。针对连锁故障的系统建模、风险评估、监测预警及脆弱性分析等相关方向的研究难点与关键技术，总结了目前已取得的国内外研究成果。首先剖析了连锁故障模型的建立方式，对连锁故障风险评估方法进行了分类梳理，综述了连锁故障在电网安全分析方面的应用情况，最后通过探讨后续亟需关注的问题展望了连锁故障研究的发展趋势，以期为新环境下大电网安全防御策略提供科学依据。
研究連鎖故障對防禦大電網停電事故具有重要意義。針對連鎖故障的繫統建模、風險評估、鑑測預警及脆弱性分析等相關方嚮的研究難點與關鍵技術，總結瞭目前已取得的國內外研究成果。首先剖析瞭連鎖故障模型的建立方式，對連鎖故障風險評估方法進行瞭分類梳理，綜述瞭連鎖故障在電網安全分析方麵的應用情況，最後通過探討後續亟需關註的問題展望瞭連鎖故障研究的髮展趨勢，以期為新環境下大電網安全防禦策略提供科學依據。
연구련쇄고장대방어대전망정전사고구유중요의의。침대련쇄고장적계통건모、풍험평고、감측예경급취약성분석등상관방향적연구난점여관건기술，총결료목전이취득적국내외연구성과。수선부석료련쇄고장모형적건립방식，대련쇄고장풍험평고방법진행료분류소리，종술료련쇄고장재전망안전분석방면적응용정황，최후통과탐토후속극수관주적문제전망료련쇄고장연구적발전추세，이기위신배경하대전망안전방어책략제공과학의거。
Cascading failure research has great significance for blackout defense .Aiming at the difficulties and key technologies of system modeling , risk assessment , forewarning and vulnerability analysis about cascading failures , the research results at home and abroad are summarized .Firstly, the models of casca-ding failures are comparatively discussed in detail .Then risk assessment methods are categorized and il-lustrated .And the application situation related to gird security analysis of cascading failure is explained . Finally , by probing some challenges in need of urgent attention , the development tendency of cascading failure research is forecasted , with expectation to provide a scientific basis for grid security defense strate-gy under the new environment .
