CAJ | 학술논문

本文简要介绍了“过去2000年全球典型暖期的形成机制及其影响研究”项目取得的主要进展：(1)新建了40余条高分辨率气候序列，显著提高了过去2000年中国气候变化序列的覆盖度和时间分辨率；(2)揭示了暖期气候的空间协同特征及历史典型暖期与20世纪暖期气候格局的差异；(3)诊断了自然驱动的历史暖期与温室气体驱动的20世纪暖期形成机制的差异；(4)量化分析了过去2000年气候变化对中国社会经济的影响与响应过程，辨识了冷、暖期对中国社会经济影响的主要差异。上述研究成果增进了对年代至百年尺度气候变化特征与机制的认识，对我国适应未来气候变化具有参考价值。
본문간요개소료“과거2000년전구전형난기적형성궤제급기영향연구”항목취득적주요진전：(1)신건료40여조고분변솔기후서렬，현저제고료과거2000년중국기후변화서렬적복개도화시간분변솔；(2)게시료난기기후적공간협동특정급역사전형난기여20세기난기기후격국적차이；(3)진단료자연구동적역사난기여온실기체구동적20세기난기형성궤제적차이；(4)양화분석료과거2000년기후변화대중국사회경제적영향여향응과정，변식료랭、난기대중국사회경제영향적주요차이。상술연구성과증진료대년대지백년척도기후변화특정여궤제적인식，대아국괄응미래기후변화구유삼고개치。
Progresses in the research project of a study on the forcing and impacts of the warm periods in the past 2000 years, which funded from China Global Change Research Program, are summarized with highlights as fellows. (1) More than 40 new high-resolution climate series have been reconstructed, which improves the spa-tial coverage and the time resolution of the climate se-ries in the past 2000 years of China. (2) The spatial synergistic characteristics of warm periods and the differences between the spatial patterns of the Medieval Warm Period and the current warm period have been re-vealed. (3) The difference between the “ thermostat mechanism” for the Medieval Warming Period forced by increased solar radiation and the “stabilization mecha-nism” for the warming in the 20th century forced by in-creased greenhouse gases has been identified. (4) The climate change impact on social-economic system during Chinese history and the adaptation, particularly on the differences between the impacts of warm periods and the cold periods were identified quantitatively. These pro-gresses could not only improve the understanding on the characteristics and mechanisms of decadal to centennial climate change, but also provide valuable references for the adaptation to climate change in the future.