商业研究
商業研究
상업연구
COMMERCIAL RESEARCH
2015年
7期
185-192
,共8页
旅游经济系统%脆弱性%面板数据%集对分析法%西部地区
旅遊經濟繫統%脆弱性%麵闆數據%集對分析法%西部地區
여유경제계통%취약성%면판수거%집대분석법%서부지구
tourism economic system%vulnerability%panel data%set pair analysis%western regions
本文利用熵值法确定指标权重，采用2004－2012年西部12个省（市、自治区）的面板数据，运用集对分析法评价脆弱性大小，从敏感性和应对性角度构建旅游经济系统脆弱性评价指标体系，从时空角度分析脆弱性演变特征。从总体上讲，西部地区旅游经济系统敏感性和脆弱性变动具有一致性，呈现出下降趋势，而应对性呈现出上升趋势；西部各省（市、自治区）旅游经济系统敏感性、应对性和脆弱性的绝对差异均在逐渐缩小，敏感性和脆弱性的相对差异在扩大，应对性相对差异在减小，但2009年以来相对差异表现出下降趋势。
本文利用熵值法確定指標權重，採用2004－2012年西部12箇省（市、自治區）的麵闆數據，運用集對分析法評價脆弱性大小，從敏感性和應對性角度構建旅遊經濟繫統脆弱性評價指標體繫，從時空角度分析脆弱性縯變特徵。從總體上講，西部地區旅遊經濟繫統敏感性和脆弱性變動具有一緻性，呈現齣下降趨勢，而應對性呈現齣上升趨勢；西部各省（市、自治區）旅遊經濟繫統敏感性、應對性和脆弱性的絕對差異均在逐漸縮小，敏感性和脆弱性的相對差異在擴大，應對性相對差異在減小，但2009年以來相對差異錶現齣下降趨勢。
본문이용적치법학정지표권중，채용2004－2012년서부12개성（시、자치구）적면판수거，운용집대분석법평개취약성대소，종민감성화응대성각도구건여유경제계통취약성평개지표체계，종시공각도분석취약성연변특정。종총체상강，서부지구여유경제계통민감성화취약성변동구유일치성，정현출하강추세，이응대성정현출상승추세；서부각성（시、자치구）여유경제계통민감성、응대성화취약성적절대차이균재축점축소，민감성화취약성적상대차이재확대，응대성상대차이재감소，단2009년이래상대차이표현출하강추세。
This paper determined the indicator weight using entropy method, and used panel data which are from 12 provinces ( municipalities and autonomous regions) of western regions in 2004-2012 to evaluate the vulnerability with set pair analysis.Then it built the evaluating indicator system for the vulnerability of tourism economic system from the perspectives of sensitivity and resilience, and analyzed the evolution characteristics of vulnerability from the view of space-time.Overall, the sensitivity and vulnerability of western region′s tourism economic system changed consistently, showing a downward trend, while the resilience showed a rising trend;the absolute differences of tourism economic sys-tem′s sensitivity, resilience and vulnerability in western provinces ( municipalities and autonomous regions) were gradu-ally reduced;the relative differences of sensitivity and vulnerability expanded and the relative difference of resilience re-duced, but since 2009, the relative differences have shown a downward trend.
