CAJ | 학술논문

粮食补贴政策通过农户生产行为实现其政策传导，那么，在农业生产风险条件下，农户的风险偏好和政策预期是否影响到粮食补贴政策的作用发挥？基于粮食主产区农户的调研数据，将行为经济学的实验性测试分析方法运用于农户行为研究，分析不同风险偏好农户对补贴政策的预期和行为反应。研究结果显示：农户对粮食补贴政策的认知、态度及其风险偏好通过农户的政策预期作用到农户种粮决策行为，且农户的风险偏好和生产行为决策出现了“效用不一致”的现象，风险规避型农户对粮食补贴政策的预期相对较强，有更强烈的稳定粮食生产的预期，据此提出粮食补贴政策设计时应该考虑农户风险偏好特征，将风险规避型农户的粮食生产激励政策放在首要地位，稳定和刺激粮食生产发展。
양식보첩정책통과농호생산행위실현기정책전도，나요，재농업생산풍험조건하，농호적풍험편호화정책예기시부영향도양식보첩정책적작용발휘？기우양식주산구농호적조연수거，장행위경제학적실험성측시분석방법운용우농호행위연구，분석불동풍험편호농호대보첩정책적예기화행위반응。연구결과현시：농호대양식보첩정책적인지、태도급기풍험편호통과농호적정책예기작용도농호충량결책행위，차농호적풍험편호화생산행위결책출현료“효용불일치”적현상，풍험규피형농호대양식보첩정책적예기상대교강，유경강렬적은정양식생산적예기，거차제출양식보첩정책설계시응해고필농호풍험편호특정，장풍험규피형농호적양식생산격려정책방재수요지위，은정화자격양식생산발전。
Food subsidy policies are to achieve its policy through farmer production behaviors.Then under risk conditions of agricultural production,do farmers’ risk appetite and policy anticipation affect the perform?ance of food subsidy policies?Based on household survey data from major grain producing areas,experimental testing methods used in experimental behavioral economics research were adopted to analyze farmers’ behavioral responses and policy expectations under different risk preferences. The results show that farmers’ awareness of food subsidies,their attitudes and risk preferences through policy anticipation do affect farmers’ grain decision?making behaviors,that farmers’ risk appetite and production behavior conduct a“utility inconsistencies”phe?nomenon,and that risk?averse farmers have relatively higher policy expectations as well as stronger stabilizing grain production expectations.Accordingly,farmers’ risk appetite should be taken into consideration when de?signing food subsidy policies and food production incentives to risk?averse farmers should be prioritized to sta?bilize and stimulate food production.