CAJ | 학술논문

综合运用脉冲响应及方差分解，对国际产业转移、区域创新绩效与经济发展水平之间的关系进行了研究。结果表明：国际产业转移、区域创新与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系；国际产业转移和区域创新对经济增长存在正向冲击效应，并具有长期持续的积极贡献；且经济增长对区域创新的脉冲响应更为敏感。研究还发现国际产业转移对区域创新水平的提升具有显著短期溢出效应；在长期，经济增长对区域创新水平的贡献率逐渐提高。最后提出了相关对策建议。
종합운용맥충향응급방차분해，대국제산업전이、구역창신적효여경제발전수평지간적관계진행료연구。결과표명：국제산업전이、구역창신여경제증장지간존재장기은정적균형관계；국제산업전이화구역창신대경제증장존재정향충격효응，병구유장기지속적적겁공헌；차경제증장대구역창신적맥충향응경위민감。연구환발현국제산업전이대구역창신수평적제승구유현저단기일출효응；재장기，경제증장대구역창신수평적공헌솔축점제고。최후제출료상관대책건의。
A VAR model is founded base on the Time Series Data from 1990 to 2012 in Guangxi. Then the relationship among international indus‐trial transfer ,regional innovation and economy growth was analyzed by use of cointegration analysis ,impulse response function and variance decom‐position in this paper.The results show that there exist long term equilibrium among international industrial transfer ,regional innovation and econ‐omy growth. The impulse responses are positive about regional innovation to international industrial transfer and economy growth ,and the contri‐bution is sustained ,but the impulse responses of economy growth to regional innovation is more sensitive than that to international industrial trans‐fer.The results also indicate that international industrial transfer has short‐term spillover effects ?on regional innovation ,but the contribution of e‐conomy growth to regional innovation level is becoming more and more stronger in the long run. Finally ,some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.