CAJ | 학술논문

从众过街是行人交通的重要安全隐患。在不确定交通环境下，群体参照效应伴随着行人过街行为决策的全过程。文中从行人过街行为的影响因素出发，基于动态博弈理论推演参照群体影响下的行人从众通过或等待的行为变化过程，构建行人过街行为的阈值模型，定量评估参照群体对行人行为决策的影响程度，探讨参照群体与个体行为的相互作用关系，并以某一交叉口为例进行了实证分析。研究结果表明，群体参照效应对行人过街行为决策存在显著影响。研究结果能够丰富和扩展行人行为研究的理论框架和分析方法，为制定、实施行人过街交通的安全管理策略提供科学的决策支持。
종음과가시행인교통적중요안전은환。재불학정교통배경하，군체삼조효응반수착행인과가행위결책적전과정。문중종행인과가행위적영향인소출발，기우동태박혁이론추연삼조군체영향하적행인종음통과혹등대적행위변화과정，구건행인과가행위적역치모형，정량평고삼조군체대행인행위결책적영향정도，탐토삼조군체여개체행위적상호작용관계，병이모일교차구위례진행료실증분석。연구결과표명，군체삼조효응대행인과가행위결책존재현저영향。연구결과능구봉부화확전행인행위연구적이론광가화분석방법，위제정、실시행인과가교통적안전관리책략제공과학적결책지지。
Conformity crossing is one of the important potential safety hazards of pedestrian traffic.In uncertain traffic environments, the conformity effect of pedestrians play an important role in the whole process of the crossing decision of individual pedestrians.In this paper, the evolution rule for the crossing or waiting of pedestrians is de-duced based on the game theory after analyzing the factors influencing the interaction crossing, and a threshold model describing the crossing behavior is constructed to quantitatively evaluate the impact degree of reference group on individual pedestrian’ s decision.Moreover, the interaction between the reference group and the individual is analyzed by using an example of interaction.The results show that the effect of reference group has a significant im-pact on the pedestrians’ crossing behavior.This research expands and enriches the theoretical framework and tech-nique of pedestrian behavior analysis, and provides a scientific foundation for the establishment and implementation of high-performance safety measures for the crossing of pedestrians.