中国能源
中國能源
중국능원
ENERGY OF CHINA
2015年
7期
11-16,10
,共7页
气候变化%国家自主贡献%减缓%2020年后
氣候變化%國傢自主貢獻%減緩%2020年後
기후변화%국가자주공헌%감완%2020년후
Climate Change%Nationally Determined Contribution%Mitigation%Post-2020
作为温室气体排放量最大的三个经济体，中、美、欧2020年后应对气候变化的行动目标备受国际社会关注。本文从排放现状、目标情景、排放轨迹、累积排放、GDP碳强度、非化石能源发展等不同角度对中、美、欧的目标进行了比较，分析了中、美、欧目标和所需行动的异同。本文旨在通过比较分析更好地理解中、美、欧的目标和行动，而并非评价中、美、欧行动目标力度的相对大小。应对气候变化是一个迭代的决策过程，每个国家目标的制定需要综合考虑多方面的因素，都有一个结合具体实践不断调整和加强的过程。中、美、欧的新目标将应对气候变化的努力推到了一个更高的起点而并非行动的终点。
作為溫室氣體排放量最大的三箇經濟體，中、美、歐2020年後應對氣候變化的行動目標備受國際社會關註。本文從排放現狀、目標情景、排放軌跡、纍積排放、GDP碳彊度、非化石能源髮展等不同角度對中、美、歐的目標進行瞭比較，分析瞭中、美、歐目標和所需行動的異同。本文旨在通過比較分析更好地理解中、美、歐的目標和行動，而併非評價中、美、歐行動目標力度的相對大小。應對氣候變化是一箇迭代的決策過程，每箇國傢目標的製定需要綜閤攷慮多方麵的因素，都有一箇結閤具體實踐不斷調整和加彊的過程。中、美、歐的新目標將應對氣候變化的努力推到瞭一箇更高的起點而併非行動的終點。
작위온실기체배방량최대적삼개경제체，중、미、구2020년후응대기후변화적행동목표비수국제사회관주。본문종배방현상、목표정경、배방궤적、루적배방、GDP탄강도、비화석능원발전등불동각도대중、미、구적목표진행료비교，분석료중、미、구목표화소수행동적이동。본문지재통과비교분석경호지리해중、미、구적목표화행동，이병비평개중、미、구행동목표력도적상대대소。응대기후변화시일개질대적결책과정，매개국가목표적제정수요종합고필다방면적인소，도유일개결합구체실천불단조정화가강적과정。중、미、구적신목표장응대기후변화적노력추도료일개경고적기점이병비행동적종점。
As the world’s three largest economies of GHG emissions, the goals of China, US and EU with regard to addressing climate change in post-2020 are of great concerns of international community. This paper conducts an analysis and comparison on the goals of three economies from the perspectives of current emission, future emission under respective goals, emission trajectories, cumulative emissions, GDP carbon intensity, and development of non-fossil fuels, further presents the common as well as the different features of those goals and required actions. The aim of the paper is not to make a judgment on whose goal is more ambitious but rather to facilitate the understanding of those goals and actions required to achieve those goals. Addressing climate change needs an iterative decision-making process. Various factors need to be considered in a balanced manner to determine a reasonable and feasible goal, which will be enhanced and adjusted based on the experiences and lessons learned from the implementation practices. The goals of those three economies should be considered as a higher starting point of new round of efforts instead of final destination.
