CAJ | 학술논문

运用1995—2012年的统计数据，采用 IPCC （2006）测算方法估计江西省能源碳排放总量，通过构建能源碳排放与经济增长的脱钩指数模型实证分析江西省能源碳排放与经济增长之间的脱钩关系。研究结果表明，江西省能源碳排放与经济增长存在不稳定的脱钩状态，强脱钩、弱脱钩、扩张负脱钩等状态交替出现，在此基础上，进一步分析江西能源碳排放与经济增长脱钩状态变化的原因并对江西发展低碳经济提出相应的建议。
운용1995—2012년적통계수거，채용 IPCC （2006）측산방법고계강서성능원탄배방총량，통과구건능원탄배방여경제증장적탈구지수모형실증분석강서성능원탄배방여경제증장지간적탈구관계。연구결과표명，강서성능원탄배방여경제증장존재불은정적탈구상태，강탈구、약탈구、확장부탈구등상태교체출현，재차기출상，진일보분석강서능원탄배방여경제증장탈구상태변화적원인병대강서발전저탄경제제출상응적건의。
This paper,which is based on 1995 -2012 statistical data,used the IPCC (2006)calculation method to esti-mate the total amount of carbon emissions in Jiangxi energy,and built carbon emissions energy and economic growth decou-pling index model,empirically analyzed the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economy growth.in Jian-gxi.The results showed that decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth in Jiangxi was instabili-ty,and decoupled state,strong decoupling,weak decoupling existed alternately.On this basis,the paper further analyzes the reasons for the decouple state changes of the carbon emissions and Jiangxi economic growth,and makes recommenda-tions to Jiangxi in order to develop low -carbon economy.