科技管理研究
科技管理研究
과기관리연구
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT RESEARCH
2015年
13期
181-187
,共7页
非期望产出强度%汉密尔顿系统%半参数模型%偏相关系数%分布滞后模型
非期望產齣彊度%漢密爾頓繫統%半參數模型%偏相關繫數%分佈滯後模型
비기망산출강도%한밀이돈계통%반삼수모형%편상관계수%분포체후모형
undesirable output intensity%the Hamilton system%semi parametric model%partial correlation coefficient%distributed lag model
技术进步能够有效降低非期望产出。为探寻产业系统非期望产出与技术投入的具体关系，构建融入技术进步因素的非期望产出强度线性模型，将之简化为半参数模型，同时结合非期望产出强度效用函数，形成动态汉密尔顿系统，求解能够最有效降低非期望产出强度的 R＆D 投入，并使用我国产业部门的数据对其进行实证分析，得出大部分产业部门的最优 R＆D 投入强度，指出快速实现综合减排目标的途径是加大传统产业的 R＆D 投入强度。
技術進步能夠有效降低非期望產齣。為探尋產業繫統非期望產齣與技術投入的具體關繫，構建融入技術進步因素的非期望產齣彊度線性模型，將之簡化為半參數模型，同時結閤非期望產齣彊度效用函數，形成動態漢密爾頓繫統，求解能夠最有效降低非期望產齣彊度的 R＆D 投入，併使用我國產業部門的數據對其進行實證分析，得齣大部分產業部門的最優 R＆D 投入彊度，指齣快速實現綜閤減排目標的途徑是加大傳統產業的 R＆D 投入彊度。
기술진보능구유효강저비기망산출。위탐심산업계통비기망산출여기술투입적구체관계，구건융입기술진보인소적비기망산출강도선성모형，장지간화위반삼수모형，동시결합비기망산출강도효용함수，형성동태한밀이돈계통，구해능구최유효강저비기망산출강도적 R＆D 투입，병사용아국산업부문적수거대기진행실증분석，득출대부분산업부문적최우 R＆D 투입강도，지출쾌속실현종합감배목표적도경시가대전통산업적 R＆D 투입강도。
The technology can effectively reduce the undesirable output.To investigate the mechanism of relation between undesirable output and technology input in the industry system,we constructed a linear model of industrial system undesira-ble output intensity including the factor of technology,and we simplified it as a semi -parameter model.Combining the semi -parameter model with an undesirable output intensity utility function,we formed a dynamic Hamilton system and proved the existence of an optimal solution with optimal R&D input,which can effectively reduce the undesirable output in-tensity.With the Chinese industrial sectorsˊdata in 2001 -2012,We carried on an empirical analysis,obtained the optimal R&D input intensity of most industry sectors,pointed out the way to quickly realize the comprehensive emission reduction target is to increase the traditional industry R&D input intensity.We also analyzed the cumulative technology absorption and the utility of the technique and discussed the reasons why the model was not adaptable and put forward the direction of im-provement.
