CAJ | 학술논문

基于对中国种植业科研机构及其科技人力资源情况的深入分析，研究运用协整分析和 Granger 因果检验等方法探讨种植业科研机构科技人员结构、人力资本、科技人员流动与农业经济发展的关系，得出以下结论：第一，种植业科研机构科技人员结构、人力资本、科技人员流动与农业经济发展均为一阶单整序列。第二，农业经济发展序列与科技人力资源序列存在长期均衡与短期动态关系，当短期动态关系偏离时，将以90．18％的力度调整至均衡状态。第三，女性科技人员比重与人力资本的增加均对农业经济发展具有正面影响，科技人员流动对农业经济发展影响不明显，甚至具有微负面效应。第四，种植业科研机构科技人员结构与农业经济发展，农业经济发展与科技人员流入、人力资本均存在单向因果关系；农业经济发展与科技人员流出之间因果关系得不到实证支持。据此，研究提出充分发挥科技人力资源优势，促进农业经济发展的建议。
기우대중국충식업과연궤구급기과기인력자원정황적심입분석，연구운용협정분석화 Granger 인과검험등방법탐토충식업과연궤구과기인원결구、인력자본、과기인원류동여농업경제발전적관계，득출이하결론：제일，충식업과연궤구과기인원결구、인력자본、과기인원류동여농업경제발전균위일계단정서렬。제이，농업경제발전서렬여과기인력자원서렬존재장기균형여단기동태관계，당단기동태관계편리시，장이90．18％적력도조정지균형상태。제삼，녀성과기인원비중여인력자본적증가균대농업경제발전구유정면영향，과기인원류동대농업경제발전영향불명현，심지구유미부면효응。제사，충식업과연궤구과기인원결구여농업경제발전，농업경제발전여과기인원류입、인력자본균존재단향인과관계；농업경제발전여과기인원류출지간인과관계득불도실증지지。거차，연구제출충분발휘과기인력자원우세，촉진농업경제발전적건의。
With the deep analysis on the status of planting research institutes and their human resources in China,the arti-cle discussed the relationships between the structure,movement of technologists,human capital and agricultural economic development based on the co -integration test and Granger causality effect examination.The results showed that:firstly, the structure,movement of technologists,human capital and agricultural economic development all belonged to single inte-ger sequences.Secondly,there were long -term equilibrium and short -term dynamic relationships between the sequences of agricultural economic development and technology human capital.There would have much strength with 90.18% to ad-just the short -term dynamic relation when it deviated from the status of long -term equilibrium.Thirdly,the increasing of female technologists and human capital had positive impact on the development of agricultural economy.However,there was not an obvious effect of the flow of technologists on the agricultural economic development,and even a micro negative effect.Finally,there were one -way causations between the structure of technologists and the development of agricultural e-conomy,agricultural economic development and the flow of the technologists,human capital.But the causation could get the empirical support between agricultural economic development and the outflow of the technologists.Based on the analyses and results,we gave some suggestion to optimize the allocation of human resources of technologists and to promote the de-velopment of agricultural economy.