CAJ | 학술논문

本文选取1998年、2008年两个时间断面，综合运用SPSS和ArcGIS软件定量分析泛长三角城市旅游业绩效系统空间分异特征，并对其演变趋势进行了探讨。泛长三角城市旅游业系统呈现明显的空间分异，空间格局表现为以上海为中心的长三角地区绩效值较大，安徽省的旅游业绩效值较小，子系统绩效值与旅游业发展水平呈较高的线性相关性；在此基础上，客观地划分城市旅游业绩效类型，并基于时空尺度对城市旅游业绩效子系统进行趋势分析与拟合，表明子系统演变趋势符合线性增长模式，有着较好的提升空间。
본문선취1998년、2008년량개시간단면，종합운용SPSS화ArcGIS연건정량분석범장삼각성시여유업적효계통공간분이특정，병대기연변추세진행료탐토。범장삼각성시여유업계통정현명현적공간분이，공간격국표현위이상해위중심적장삼각지구적효치교대，안휘성적여유업적효치교소，자계통적효치여여유업발전수평정교고적선성상관성；재차기출상，객관지화분성시여유업적효류형，병기우시공척도대성시여유업적효자계통진행추세분석여의합，표명자계통연변추세부합선성증장모식，유착교호적제승공간。
By choosing the year of 1998 and 2008 as two time sections, this paper conducts quantitative analysis of the perform system space differentiation characteristics of urban tourism in Pan-Yangtze River Delta by use of SPSS and ArcGIS software, and then discusses its evolution trend.The urban tourism system presents obvious spatial differentiation in Pan-Yangtze River Delta, with spatial pattern presenting high performance value in Shanghai-centered Yangtze Riv-er Delta, low value in Anhui province, high linear correlation between subsystem performance value and level of tourism development.On this basis, the type of the urban tourism performance is objectively divided.Finally, from the perspec-tive of spatial-temporal scale, the trend analysis and fitting are conducted for urban tourism performance subsystem, which shows the evolution trend conforms to the linear growth model and has a good promotion space.