河南科学
河南科學
하남과학
HENAN SCIENCE
2015年
7期
1258-1264
,共7页
李慧芳%谢双玉%张琪%侯雪琦%任前
李慧芳%謝雙玉%張琪%侯雪琦%任前
리혜방%사쌍옥%장기%후설기%임전
旅游客源市场%空间分析方法%相关性和回归分析%空间结构%影响因素%武汉
旅遊客源市場%空間分析方法%相關性和迴歸分析%空間結構%影響因素%武漢
여유객원시장%공간분석방법%상관성화회귀분석%공간결구%영향인소%무한
tourist origins%spatial analysis method%correlation and regression analysis%spatial structure%influencing factors%Wuhan
基于2013年武汉市旅游市场调研数据,运用空间分析方法、相关性和回归分析方法对武汉市国内旅游客源市场空间结构及其影响因素进行探讨.研究结果表明:①武汉市国内旅游客源市场在空间分布上具有集中性高、客源吸引半径小、符合距离衰减规律的特征.②武汉市国内旅游客源市场已形成以武汉市为核心、依次向外拓展、梯度差异明显的三级圈层型空间结构,500 km和1100 km是界定三级圈层的两条地理空间分割线.③三级圈层的客源份额呈现7∶2∶1的比例分割形态,比例严重失衡.④通过相关性分析,空间距离和经济联系对来武汉旅游的旅游者数量具有明显的影响和作用,其中经济联系影响最大,且与旅游者数量呈正相关关系;空间距离影响较小,且与旅游者数量呈负相关关系;而客源地的人口规模和经济发展水平对其作用不明显.⑤通过回归分析,基于经济联系强度拟合了线性回归方程.最后,提出拓展武汉市国内旅游客源市场的建议.
基于2013年武漢市旅遊市場調研數據,運用空間分析方法、相關性和迴歸分析方法對武漢市國內旅遊客源市場空間結構及其影響因素進行探討.研究結果錶明:①武漢市國內旅遊客源市場在空間分佈上具有集中性高、客源吸引半徑小、符閤距離衰減規律的特徵.②武漢市國內旅遊客源市場已形成以武漢市為覈心、依次嚮外拓展、梯度差異明顯的三級圈層型空間結構,500 km和1100 km是界定三級圈層的兩條地理空間分割線.③三級圈層的客源份額呈現7∶2∶1的比例分割形態,比例嚴重失衡.④通過相關性分析,空間距離和經濟聯繫對來武漢旅遊的旅遊者數量具有明顯的影響和作用,其中經濟聯繫影響最大,且與旅遊者數量呈正相關關繫;空間距離影響較小,且與旅遊者數量呈負相關關繫;而客源地的人口規模和經濟髮展水平對其作用不明顯.⑤通過迴歸分析,基于經濟聯繫彊度擬閤瞭線性迴歸方程.最後,提齣拓展武漢市國內旅遊客源市場的建議.
기우2013년무한시여유시장조연수거,운용공간분석방법、상관성화회귀분석방법대무한시국내여유객원시장공간결구급기영향인소진행탐토.연구결과표명:①무한시국내여유객원시장재공간분포상구유집중성고、객원흡인반경소、부합거리쇠감규률적특정.②무한시국내여유객원시장이형성이무한시위핵심、의차향외탁전、제도차이명현적삼급권층형공간결구,500 km화1100 km시계정삼급권층적량조지리공간분할선.③삼급권층적객원빈액정현7∶2∶1적비례분할형태,비례엄중실형.④통과상관성분석,공간거리화경제련계대래무한여유적여유자수량구유명현적영향화작용,기중경제련계영향최대,차여여유자수량정정상관관계;공간거리영향교소,차여여유자수량정부상관관계;이객원지적인구규모화경제발전수평대기작용불명현.⑤통과회귀분석,기우경제련계강도의합료선성회귀방정.최후,제출탁전무한시국내여유객원시장적건의.
Based on the data collected in Wuhan tourist market investigation in 2013,and applying spatial analysis method,correlation and regression analysis method,the paper tries to explore the spatial pattern of Wuhan’s domestic tourist origins as well as the influencing factors. The results show as follows. 1)The spatial distribution of Wuhan’s domestic tourist origins is characterized that the degree of concentration is high;the tourist attractive radius is short;and according with the law of distance decay. 2)Wuhan’s domestic tourist origins have formed a three?circled structure,with Wuhan City as the core. It decreases gradually outward,presenting obvious gradient difference,and 500 km and 1100 km are two important lines to divide the three circles. 3)The percentage of the tourists from the three circles is 7∶2∶1 and unreasonable. 4)By correlation and regression analysis,economic relation and distance between Wuhan and tourist origins have marked influence and effect on the number of tourists to Wuhan ,in which economic relation has bigger and positive influence and distance has smaller and negative influence on the number of tourists to Wuhan. The population and economic level haven’t obvious influence on the number of tourists to Wuhan. Finally,some suggestions to develop the Wuhan’s domestic tourist origins were put forward.