CAJ | 학술논문

对于传染病有效的防预与控制，一直以来都是卫生部门管理的重点。建立了对全国伤寒和副伤寒传染病进行预测的马尔可夫链预测模型。该模型能准确预测出该传染病年发病率。在大量已知数据的前提下，该模型有较高的准确性和可信度，且具有很强的推广价值。
대우전염병유효적방예여공제，일직이래도시위생부문관리적중점。건립료대전국상한화부상한전염병진행예측적마이가부련예측모형。해모형능준학예측출해전염병년발병솔。재대량이지수거적전제하，해모형유교고적준학성화가신도，차구유흔강적추엄개치。
For effective prevention and control of infectious diseases,has always been the focus of the health sector management.Established the forecast model of markov chain of typhoid and paratyphoid infectious diseases in the country.This model can accurately predict the annual incidence of infectious diseases.On the premise of a large number of known data,the model has higher accuracy and credibility,and has great promotion value.