CAJ | 학술논문

在动态综合测度2001～2011年中国28个制造业环境规制强度指数的基础上，通过面板协整方程估计方法验证制造业集聚的适度规模以及环境规制在其中发挥的作用。实证结果表明：较高环境规制强度有助于制造业以更少的碳排放总量实现更高的集聚规模；中高环境规制强度制造业集聚与碳排放总量呈倒U型关系；低环境规制强度制造业集聚与碳排放总量之间更容易呈U型关系。为减少碳排放总量，政府有必要提高环境规制强度，并针对不同污染类型的制造业采用差别化的环境规制工具，通过规制政策的协调配合有效发挥制造业集聚的减排效应。
재동태종합측도2001～2011년중국28개제조업배경규제강도지수적기출상，통과면판협정방정고계방법험증제조업집취적괄도규모이급배경규제재기중발휘적작용。실증결과표명：교고배경규제강도유조우제조업이경소적탄배방총량실현경고적집취규모；중고배경규제강도제조업집취여탄배방총량정도U형관계；저배경규제강도제조업집취여탄배방총량지간경용역정U형관계。위감소탄배방총량，정부유필요제고배경규제강도，병침대불동오염류형적제조업채용차별화적배경규제공구，통과규제정책적협조배합유효발휘제조업집취적감배효응。
Based on the dynamic comprehensive measurement of environmental regulation strength index of 28 manufacturing industries in China from 2000 to 2011 ,the authors test the function of optimal scale and environmental regulation in the measurement by using panel cointe-gration estimation. The empirical results show that stronger environmental regulation is beneficial for manufacturing industry to achieve higher level of agglomeration with less total carbon emission;medium strong environmental regulation of manufacturing agglomeration has "inverted U-shape"relationship with the total volume of carbon emission; and the relationship with low environmental regulation tends to be a "U-shape". In order to reduce carbon emission,it is necessary for the government to increase the intensity of environmental regulation,and different environmental regu-lation tools should be adopted in manufacturing industries with different types of pollution. The effect of emission reduction can be achieved effectively by the coordination of regulation policies.