CAJ | 학술논문

分析了中国工业碳排放效率的区域差异性以及空间自相关性，并用1998—2013年中国大陆30个省份的面板数据，建立空间面板数据模型，对工业碳排放效率的影响因素进行实证研究。研究结果表明：除少许年份外，中国及各地区的工业碳排放效率都呈现出不同程度的上升趋势且存在区域差异，中国省际工业碳排放效率在空间分布上表现出较强的正相关性和空间集聚特征，能源结构、能源强度、工业结构、能源价格水平和技术因素是影响中国工业碳排放效率的主要因素，对提高中国省际工业碳排放效率有正向作用，是空间格局演变的重要因素，且具有空间自相关性和空间溢出效应。
분석료중국공업탄배방효솔적구역차이성이급공간자상관성，병용1998—2013년중국대륙30개성빈적면판수거，건립공간면판수거모형，대공업탄배방효솔적영향인소진행실증연구。연구결과표명：제소허년빈외，중국급각지구적공업탄배방효솔도정현출불동정도적상승추세차존재구역차이，중국성제공업탄배방효솔재공간분포상표현출교강적정상관성화공간집취특정，능원결구、능원강도、공업결구、능원개격수평화기술인소시영향중국공업탄배방효솔적주요인소，대제고중국성제공업탄배방효솔유정향작용，시공간격국연변적중요인소，차구유공간자상관성화공간일출효응。
Based on distance algorithm which is the strong efficient frontier minimum, the paper applies three-stage DEA model to estimating the efficiency of industrial CO2 emissions in China’s 30 provinces in 1998—2013. The advantage of this approach is that closer targets inputs and outputs of the inefficient units determine less demanding levels of operation to perform efficiently. On this ba-sis, the paper analyzes the efficiency of industrial carbon emissions regional differences and spatial autocorrelation, and learns from the gravity model to analyze the dynamic trajectory of the center of gravity of China’s industrial carbon emissions efficiency;finally, it uses the spatial panel data of China’s 30 provinces from 1998 to 2013, establishes the spatial panel data model, and affects the empirical re-search on the efficiency of China’s industrial carbon emissions influence factors. The results show that, except those in a few years, the efficiency of industrial carbon emissions in China and the regions has emerged to rise to varying degrees and there are regional differ-ences;Chinese provincial industrial carbon emission efficiency on the spatial distribution showed a strong positive correlation and spa-tial agglomeration characteristics;energy structure, energy intensity, industrial structure, the level of energy prices and technology are the main factors affecting the efficiency of Chinese industrial carbon emissions.