CAJ | 학술논문

利用2001-2009年中国30个省分分国别(地区)的出口贸易数据，采用空间探索性数据分析方法分析了各国及地区在我国的出口贸易空间格局，发现各国(地区)在我国的出口贸易中表现出较为显著的空间相关性。进一步，本文构建了考虑空间滞后因子的引力模型实证分析了文化差异和运输距离对我国各省分国别(地区)出口贸易的影响。研究结果表明：我国邻省出口对本省的空间溢出效应随着时间的推移不断增强；而邻省与本省在出口伙伴国选择上的“竞争效应”并不明显；文化差异在各国及地区在我国各省的出口贸易中所起的限制性作用表现突出；而陆运距离对各省分国别(地区)出口贸易的负向影响要明显大于海运距离，且随着时间的推移有不断扩大的迹象。
이용2001-2009년중국30개성분분국별(지구)적출구무역수거，채용공간탐색성수거분석방법분석료각국급지구재아국적출구무역공간격국，발현각국(지구)재아국적출구무역중표현출교위현저적공간상관성。진일보，본문구건료고필공간체후인자적인력모형실증분석료문화차이화운수거리대아국각성분국별(지구)출구무역적영향。연구결과표명：아국린성출구대본성적공간일출효응수착시간적추이불단증강；이린성여본성재출구화반국선택상적“경쟁효응”병불명현；문화차이재각국급지구재아국각성적출구무역중소기적한제성작용표현돌출；이륙운거리대각성분국별(지구)출구무역적부향영향요명현대우해운거리，차수착시간적추이유불단확대적적상。
Based on the export trade data by countries (regions)of 30 provinces in China from the year 2001 to 2009,this paper finds out significant spatial correlation among countries (regions)in export trade with China after analyzing the export trade spatial pattern of each country(region)with the help of the spa-tial exploratory data analysis method.Furthermore,this paper constructs a gravity model,which takes spatial lag factor into consideration,to make an empirical analysis of the impact on export trade of each province (region)to different countries caused by culture differences and geographical distance.The re-search shows that:in China,the spatial spillover effects of export trade from neighboring provinces will be strengthened constantly as time goes on;while there is no obvious “competition effects”on options of ex-port partner countries between provinces and its neighbors;culture differences of countries and regions ob-viously limit the export trade of each province;the negative effect from road distance is much greater than that from ocean shipping to export trade by country and region of each province and this gap has been be-coming expanding as time goes on.