CAJ | 학술논문

“丝绸之路经济带”是中国成为全球大国、重构特定区域内国际秩序的政治战略。区域经济合作是实现途径，能源是重要支柱。文章利用中国与经济带沿线10个贸易伙伴国的面板数据，运用DEA模型测算能源效率，并引入改进的贸易引力模型探索分析经济规模、能源效率、地理距离、国际合作组织等因素对双边贸易的影响。研究表明，对于经济带沿线国家而言，经济规模对双边贸易具有正向影响，而能源效率、地理距离与双边贸易呈现负相关关系。同时，文章通过分析中国与经济带沿线国家的对外贸易商品结构，对实证结果做出了进一步的阐释，尝试对制定长期经贸合作与区域发展相关政策提供借鉴和参考。
“사주지로경제대”시중국성위전구대국、중구특정구역내국제질서적정치전략。구역경제합작시실현도경，능원시중요지주。문장이용중국여경제대연선10개무역화반국적면판수거，운용DEA모형측산능원효솔，병인입개진적무역인력모형탐색분석경제규모、능원효솔、지리거리、국제합작조직등인소대쌍변무역적영향。연구표명，대우경제대연선국가이언，경제규모대쌍변무역구유정향영향，이능원효솔、지리거리여쌍변무역정현부상관관계。동시，문장통과분석중국여경제대연선국가적대외무역상품결구，대실증결과주출료진일보적천석，상시대제정장기경무합작여구역발전상관정책제공차감화삼고。
The Silk Road Economic Belt is a political strategy for China to become a world superpower and achieve re-structuring the international order in some areas. To realize this strategy, regional economic coop-eration is the route and energy is the important pillar. By using the DEA model to analyze the panel data col-lected from China and its 10 trading partners along the Silk Road Economic Belt, energy efficiency is mea-sured;by using the improved trade gravity model, the impact of economic scale, energy efficiency, geograph-ic distance, influence of international cooperative organizations upon bilateral trades are analyzed. The study shows that for nations along the economic belt, economic scale has a positive impact on bilateral trades, while energy efficiency and geographic distance demonstrate a negative relationship with bilateral trades. At the same time, through analyzing the composition of imported/exported products of the states along the eco-nomic belt, including China, further explanations are made in order to facilitate the making of policies to achieve long-term and profitable economic and trade co-operations.