内蒙古农业科技
內矇古農業科技
내몽고농업과기
INNER MONGOLIA AGRICULTURAL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
2015年
4期
62-64
,共3页
无霜期%突变%特征分析%倾向率
無霜期%突變%特徵分析%傾嚮率
무상기%돌변%특정분석%경향솔
Frost-free period%Sudden change%Feature analysis%Tendency rate
利用内蒙古通辽市库伦旗气象站53年(1961-2013年)初、终霜出现的日期及无霜期序列资料,采用平均值、一元线性回归、曼-肯德尔(Mann-Kendall)等方法对它们的变化趋势及分布等特征进行分析.结果表明:库伦旗的无霜期的初日不断提前,终日不断推后,无霜持续日数不断增加,其倾向率为每10年增加4.7 d.
利用內矇古通遼市庫倫旂氣象站53年(1961-2013年)初、終霜齣現的日期及無霜期序列資料,採用平均值、一元線性迴歸、曼-肯德爾(Mann-Kendall)等方法對它們的變化趨勢及分佈等特徵進行分析.結果錶明:庫倫旂的無霜期的初日不斷提前,終日不斷推後,無霜持續日數不斷增加,其傾嚮率為每10年增加4.7 d.
이용내몽고통료시고륜기기상참53년(1961-2013년)초、종상출현적일기급무상기서렬자료,채용평균치、일원선성회귀、만-긍덕이(Mann-Kendall)등방법대타문적변화추세급분포등특정진행분석.결과표명:고륜기적무상기적초일불단제전,종일불단추후,무상지속일수불단증가,기경향솔위매10년증가4.7 d.
By analyzing the beginning, the last frost d ate and frostless period sequence of Kulun meteorological stations in Tongliao of 53 years (1961-2013), we explored their variation trends and distribution characteristics using mean, monadic linear regression and Mann-Kendall methods. The results showed that the frostless period of Kulun in the early days advanced constantly; the final days postponed ceaselessly; the days of frostless duration increased continually;the tendency rate of it was 4.7 d/10a.