CAJ | 학술논문

基于机场旅客出行调查的SP／RP融合数据，分别构建了 Nested Logit （NL）模型和 Mixed Logit （MXL）模型，分析了在机场轨道交通建设后旅客出行方式选择行为特征，并以南京禄口机场为实例研究对象，对比分析了两类模型的估计结果。研究显示，M XL模型对于融合数据的整体拟合效果更高，出行时间、费用是影响旅客出行方式选择的主要因素，出行目的、托运行李数量会显著影响旅客是否选择轨道交通。弹性分析数据显示，缩短轨道交通车外运行时间，旅客将更愿意放弃使用个体交通方式；出租车以及机场巴士出行旅客最易受到出行费用影响，这两类旅客以后使用轨道交通通达机场的可能性最大。
기우궤장여객출행조사적SP／RP융합수거，분별구건료 Nested Logit （NL）모형화 Mixed Logit （MXL）모형，분석료재궤장궤도교통건설후여객출행방식선택행위특정，병이남경록구궤장위실례연구대상，대비분석료량류모형적고계결과。연구현시，M XL모형대우융합수거적정체의합효과경고，출행시간、비용시영향여객출행방식선택적주요인소，출행목적、탁운행리수량회현저영향여객시부선택궤도교통。탄성분석수거현시，축단궤도교통차외운행시간，여객장경원의방기사용개체교통방식；출조차이급궤장파사출행여객최역수도출행비용영향，저량류여객이후사용궤도교통통체궤장적가능성최대。
Using the stated preference (SP) and revealed preference (RP) data ,we analyzed the pas‐sengers’ choice of airport access mode .Nested logit (NL) and mixed logit (MXL) model were respec‐tively established to identify the preferences of airport passengers after the construction of airport rail taking Nanjing Lukou Airport as an example .Comparison results indicated that MXL model allowed the better estimate result for SP/RP combined data .T ravel time and travel cost are the major factors affecting choice of airport access mode .T ravel purpose and luggage quantity significantly affected the passengers’ intention of selecting airport rail .Elasticity analysis results show that if the out‐of‐vehicle time of airport rail is shortened ,more passengers will use public transport mode to airport .Passen‐gers w ho use taxi or airport bus to airport are significantly affected by travel cost ,and they show the strongest intention to use airport rail to airport .