CAJ | 학술논문

过去30多年中国城市发展速度较快，然而究竟应该以何种规模的城市作为城市发展战略的重点始终存在争论。本文基于城市成本收益最优规模的罗伯特研究框架，利用中国143个城市数据采取分组估计方法进行检验，发现并不存在单一的最优城市规模。在此基础上，本文进一步利用齐普夫(ZIPF)法则和城市就业提供能力指数对中国现有城市规模体系进行研究，本文发现中国城市体系总体规模偏小且缺乏足够的就业提供能力。最后，本文根据相关研究结论提出符合中国实际的城市发展战略。
과거30다년중국성시발전속도교쾌，연이구경응해이하충규모적성시작위성시발전전략적중점시종존재쟁론。본문기우성시성본수익최우규모적라백특연구광가，이용중국143개성시수거채취분조고계방법진행검험，발현병불존재단일적최우성시규모。재차기출상，본문진일보이용제보부(ZIPF)법칙화성시취업제공능력지수대중국현유성시규모체계진행연구，본문발현중국성시체계총체규모편소차결핍족구적취업제공능력。최후，본문근거상관연구결론제출부합중국실제적성시발전전략。
Over the past three decades China’s urbanization process has made great achievements. However,what kind of city as an urban development strategy should focus on is always controversial. This paper attempts to take advantage of 143 prefecture-level cities’data to research whether there is a unique optimal city size in china and the results show that there is no single optimal city size standards. Based on the Zipf law and the index of the ability of providing j ob of urban,this paper studies the scale system of our existing cities,and explores that the overall size of the city is currently too small to provide sufficient employment.Finally,some relevant suggestions are provided based on research results.