CAJ | 학술논문

从风险发生前、发生中、发生后3个方面探究干旱风险与水资源短缺风险的关系，分析表明在风险发生前干旱风险和水资源短缺风险存在着共同的致险因子———降水量和蒸发量，当降水量持续偏少或者蒸发量持续偏高时，两者可能同时发生，并且干旱风险有可能引起水资源短缺风险；在风险发生过程中干旱和水资源短缺是属于不同的现象；而在风险发生后2种风险在损失预估方面也有所不同，干旱风险侧重于农业损失，水资源短缺风险不仅对农业，对其他产业都带来损失，两者同时发生后存在着相互促进的作用，提升了风险发生后的等级程度。
종풍험발생전、발생중、발생후3개방면탐구간한풍험여수자원단결풍험적관계，분석표명재풍험발생전간한풍험화수자원단결풍험존재착공동적치험인자———강수량화증발량，당강수량지속편소혹자증발량지속편고시，량자가능동시발생，병차간한풍험유가능인기수자원단결풍험；재풍험발생과정중간한화수자원단결시속우불동적현상；이재풍험발생후2충풍험재손실예고방면야유소불동，간한풍험측중우농업손실，수자원단결풍험불부대농업，대기타산업도대래손실，량자동시발생후존재착상호촉진적작용，제승료풍험발생후적등급정도。
The field of hydrology and water resources often shows complicated characteristics.Drought risk and water scarcity risk are all related water resources risks.While both forms are due to the lack of water, their root case,process and result are different.The two risks are not independent but are interrelated and can influence each other.This paper analyzed the relationship before,during and after the occurrence of the risk.It was found that drought risk and water scarcity risk have some common risk factors before risk,when the precipitation is low or evaporation is high,and they may occur at the same time.Drought and water scarcity are different phenomena during risk.But after the occurrence of risk,one phenomenon may reinforce the other,as a result enhancing the level of risk.The two kinds of risks show a strong relationship with each other.