太平洋学报
太平洋學報
태평양학보
PACIFIC JOURNAL
2015年
7期
50-64
,共15页
21世纪海上丝绸之路%安全风险%创造性应对%非传统安全%合作应对
21世紀海上絲綢之路%安全風險%創造性應對%非傳統安全%閤作應對
21세기해상사주지로%안전풍험%창조성응대%비전통안전%합작응대
the 21 st Century Maritime Silk Road%security risks%creatively coping%non-traditional securi-ty%cooperate to cope
建设“21世纪海上丝绸之路”(以下简称“海丝路”)的倡议自2013年10月正式提出以来,一直是一个热点研究议题。在完整把握“海丝路”丰富内涵的基础上,本文考察了其建设过程中可能面临的安全风险,并提出了应对策略。通过运用文献研究法、案例研究法、数据分析法等多种研究方法对上述问题进行详细梳理、分析和论证,本文认为建设“海丝路”过程中可能面临的安全风险有:可能引发美国“亚太再平衡”的进一步举措;可能导致印度的担忧和反制;沿线热点安全问题形成的干扰;沿线的非传统安全威胁。创造性应对上述安全风险的可能措施有:将美国及其盟友纳入“海丝路”建设并做好反制准备;理性处理与印度之间的矛盾分歧;创造性解决周边热点安全问题;合作应对沿线非传统安全问题。
建設“21世紀海上絲綢之路”(以下簡稱“海絲路”)的倡議自2013年10月正式提齣以來,一直是一箇熱點研究議題。在完整把握“海絲路”豐富內涵的基礎上,本文攷察瞭其建設過程中可能麵臨的安全風險,併提齣瞭應對策略。通過運用文獻研究法、案例研究法、數據分析法等多種研究方法對上述問題進行詳細梳理、分析和論證,本文認為建設“海絲路”過程中可能麵臨的安全風險有:可能引髮美國“亞太再平衡”的進一步舉措;可能導緻印度的擔憂和反製;沿線熱點安全問題形成的榦擾;沿線的非傳統安全威脅。創造性應對上述安全風險的可能措施有:將美國及其盟友納入“海絲路”建設併做好反製準備;理性處理與印度之間的矛盾分歧;創造性解決週邊熱點安全問題;閤作應對沿線非傳統安全問題。
건설“21세기해상사주지로”(이하간칭“해사로”)적창의자2013년10월정식제출이래,일직시일개열점연구의제。재완정파악“해사로”봉부내함적기출상,본문고찰료기건설과정중가능면림적안전풍험,병제출료응대책략。통과운용문헌연구법、안례연구법、수거분석법등다충연구방법대상술문제진행상세소리、분석화론증,본문인위건설“해사로”과정중가능면림적안전풍험유:가능인발미국“아태재평형”적진일보거조;가능도치인도적담우화반제;연선열점안전문제형성적간우;연선적비전통안전위협。창조성응대상술안전풍험적가능조시유:장미국급기맹우납입“해사로”건설병주호반제준비;이성처리여인도지간적모순분기;창조성해결주변열점안전문제;합작응대연선비전통안전문제。
Since being officially put forward on October 2013 , the propose that constructing the 21 st Century Maritime Silk Road ( the Road) has all through being a hot research issue .Based on completely grasping the rich connotation of the Road , this paper studies the probable security risks when constructing the Road and proposes the countermeasures .After carding , analyzing and demonstrating in detail by using literature study method and case study method , data analysis method , this paper gets the conclusions as follows:The security risks in the process of constructing the Road are:the further actions of the US “Asia-Pacific Re-balance” ;India’s worry and counter;interference of hot-spot security issues along the line;non-traditional security threats along the line .The probable measures of creatively coping the security risks above are :bring the US and its allies to the construction of the Road and make full preparations to counter it ;rationally managing the contradictions and divergences with India;creatively solving the peripheral hot-spot security issues;cooperating to cope the non-traditional security threats along the line .