工业技术经济
工業技術經濟
공업기술경제
INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGY & ECONOMY
2015年
8期
23-30
,共8页
碳排放权交易%有限理性%适应性理性%Nash均衡
碳排放權交易%有限理性%適應性理性%Nash均衡
탄배방권교역%유한이성%괄응성이성%Nash균형
carbon emission trading%bounded rationality%adaptive rationality%Nash equilibrium
本文基于碳排放权交易机制，建立理性层次不同、非线性成本的进行碳排放权交易的两企业垄断产量博弈模型，然后对模型系统的进行稳定性分析和数值模拟。分析发现，系统的稳定性与系统的所有参数都相关，而碳排放权交易价格的变化对系统均衡点的存在性、稳定性及其值的大小也有很大的影响。模拟结果表明，系统的稳定性取决于有限理性企业的产量调整速度和适应性理性企业的产量调整速度，碳排放权交易价格的升高会导致系统的稳定性增加，而随着碳排放权交易价格的升高，企业的均衡产量因碳交易成本的增加而减少。
本文基于碳排放權交易機製，建立理性層次不同、非線性成本的進行碳排放權交易的兩企業壟斷產量博弈模型，然後對模型繫統的進行穩定性分析和數值模擬。分析髮現，繫統的穩定性與繫統的所有參數都相關，而碳排放權交易價格的變化對繫統均衡點的存在性、穩定性及其值的大小也有很大的影響。模擬結果錶明，繫統的穩定性取決于有限理性企業的產量調整速度和適應性理性企業的產量調整速度，碳排放權交易價格的升高會導緻繫統的穩定性增加，而隨著碳排放權交易價格的升高，企業的均衡產量因碳交易成本的增加而減少。
본문기우탄배방권교역궤제，건립이성층차불동、비선성성본적진행탄배방권교역적량기업롱단산량박혁모형，연후대모형계통적진행은정성분석화수치모의。분석발현，계통적은정성여계통적소유삼수도상관，이탄배방권교역개격적변화대계통균형점적존재성、은정성급기치적대소야유흔대적영향。모의결과표명，계통적은정성취결우유한이성기업적산량조정속도화괄응성이성기업적산량조정속도，탄배방권교역개격적승고회도치계통적은정성증가，이수착탄배방권교역개격적승고，기업적균형산량인탄교역성본적증가이감소。
Based on the mechanism of carbon emission trading , a quantity game model with heterogeneous players and nonlinear cost function was established . Through stability analysis and numerical simulation , the model was discussed . The analysis found that the stabil-ity of system was concerned with all its parameters , and the price of carbon emission trading played an important role in the existence and stability of equilibrium points and their values . The simulations showed that the stability of system depended on the speed of quantity adjust-ment of bounded rational player and the speed of quantity adjustment of adaptive rational player . In addition , the rise of the price of carbon emission trading would result in the increasing of system's stability , and with the rise of the price of carbon emission , the equilibrium quan-tities of players would be reduced because of their higher cost .
