CAJ | 학술논문

伴随着我国区域梯度产业转移，污染密集型产业在空间分布上有了较大的变化。本文采用产业结构变动系数和偏离———份额分析来对我国污染密集型产业转移进行综合定量分析。结果发现，中国污染密集型产业的结构变动相对稳定，但地域分异明显，产业结构变动系数大小主要取决于当地资源禀赋、经济发展状况、区位性和结构性因素。通过偏离———份额分析发现，污染密集型产业跨区域迁移主要受到区位优势的影响。从结构效应来看，污染密集型产业发展对中国中长期就业的贡献在下降。从空间效应来看，东北、东部沿海、南部沿海区域是污染密集型产业转出数量最多的区域，而中部、西南和北部沿海区域成为产业转入最多的区域。从转移产业部门来看，矿产资源开采业主要由东北和东部沿海区域集聚式转移至中部和北部沿海区域；金属冶炼及压延工业主要由东北和北部沿海区域转移至中西部和南部沿海区域；化学工业与造纸行业由沿海地区向中西部地区扩散式转移；电力／热力的生产和供应业则向沿海地区集聚式转移。
반수착아국구역제도산업전이，오염밀집형산업재공간분포상유료교대적변화。본문채용산업결구변동계수화편리———빈액분석래대아국오염밀집형산업전이진행종합정량분석。결과발현，중국오염밀집형산업적결구변동상대은정，단지역분이명현，산업결구변동계수대소주요취결우당지자원품부、경제발전상황、구위성화결구성인소。통과편리———빈액분석발현，오염밀집형산업과구역천이주요수도구위우세적영향。종결구효응래간，오염밀집형산업발전대중국중장기취업적공헌재하강。종공간효응래간，동북、동부연해、남부연해구역시오염밀집형산업전출수량최다적구역，이중부、서남화북부연해구역성위산업전입최다적구역。종전이산업부문래간，광산자원개채업주요유동북화동부연해구역집취식전이지중부화북부연해구역；금속야련급압연공업주요유동북화북부연해구역전이지중서부화남부연해구역；화학공업여조지행업유연해지구향중서부지구확산식전이；전력／열력적생산화공응업칙향연해지구집취식전이。
〔Abstract〕 Along with China's industrial gradient transfer between regions , pollution -intensive industries had made significant changes in the spatial distribution . In this paper , the variation coefficient of industrial structure and Shift-Share-Analysis has been taken to analyze the measurement of pollution -intensive industries transfer between regions . The results showed that the structure changes of China's pollution-intensive industries were relatively stable , but different regions were significant differentiation . The variation coefficient of industrial structure depends on the local natural resources , economic development , regional and structural factors . Through Shift -Share-Analysis , the inter-regional migration of pollution-intensive industries was primarily affected by location advantages . From the view of structural effect , the contribution of pollution-intensive industries to Chinese long -term employment was declining . From the view of spatial effect , the northeast , east coast and southern coastal areas were the largest number regions of pollution-intensive industries output , while the central , southwestern and northern coastal areas became the largest industrial input area . From the view of industrial transfer sectors , the exploitation of mineral resources industry mainly aggregately shifted from the northeast and eastern coastal areas to the central and northern coastal areas . Metal smelting and pressing industry was mainly transferred from the northeast and northern coastal areas to the central , west and southern coastal areas . Chemical industry and papermaking industry diffusely shifted from coastal areas to central and western regions . Electricity/heating production and supply industry aggregately shifted to the coastal areas .