CAJ | 학술논문

在当前共建“丝绸之路经济带”新形势下，新疆面临着与周边国家发展边境贸易的全新历史机遇与挑战。选取新疆1995-2012年边境贸易、经济增长与碳排放的相关数据，运用脉冲响应分析方法对三者之间的动态关系进行了实证研究。结论显示新疆边境贸易促进了碳排放效率的提高，同时，由于经济增长过程中大量能源消耗，也带来了碳排放的增加。通过量化研究提出了解决对策，以期为新疆与周边国家经贸合作、实现新疆碳减排、边境贸易转型升级及“丝绸之路经济带”中的“贸易畅通”新目标提供理论依据。
재당전공건“사주지로경제대”신형세하，신강면림착여주변국가발전변경무역적전신역사궤우여도전。선취신강1995-2012년변경무역、경제증장여탄배방적상관수거，운용맥충향응분석방법대삼자지간적동태관계진행료실증연구。결론현시신강변경무역촉진료탄배방효솔적제고，동시，유우경제증장과정중대량능원소모，야대래료탄배방적증가。통과양화연구제출료해결대책，이기위신강여주변국가경무합작、실현신강탄감배、변경무역전형승급급“사주지로경제대”중적“무역창통”신목표제공이론의거。
Xinjiang faces a new historical opportunity and challenge of the development of border trade with neighboring countries,under the new situation of building “the Silk Road Economic Belt”cooperatively. This paper establishes a VAR mode and uses the methods of impulse response analysis to study the dynamic relationship among them,based on the data of Xinjiang’s border trade,economic growth and carbon emis-sions during 1995 -2012.The study shows the border trade promotes the efficiency of carbon emissions, and also brings a lot of carbon emissions due to the large amount of energy consumption in the process of e-conomic growth.Then the paper gives countermeasures so as to provide theoretical basis for Xinjiang to op-erate economic and trade cooperation with neighboring countries,to realize the carbon reduction,the transi-tion and upgrading of border trade and the target of “smooth trade”in “Silk Road Economic Belt”.