交通运输系统工程与信息
交通運輸繫統工程與信息
교통운수계통공정여신식
JOURNAL OF COMMUNICATION AND TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS ENGINEERING AND INFORMATION
2015年
4期
31-37
,共7页
公路运输%空间相关性%空间计量经济学%交通基础设施%收敛性
公路運輸%空間相關性%空間計量經濟學%交通基礎設施%收斂性
공로운수%공간상관성%공간계량경제학%교통기출설시%수렴성
highway transportation%spatial correlation%spatial econometrics%transportation infrastructure%convergence
为描述公路交通设施的空间分布状态,评价其与经济发展的空间相关效应,引入空间计量经济学分析中国公路交通设施的空间相关性和收敛性,探讨其与区域经济发展的关系.结果表明,中国公路交通设施在空间上存在显著的空间自相关性,且显著性不断增强,呈现出明显的空间集聚特征,东部沿海地区及中部的长江流域地区聚集程度高,西部聚集程度低,东西差异明显;我国公路交通设施不存在α收敛和绝对 β收敛,而引入控制变量后,存在条件 β收敛并显著,说明我国公路交通设施发展还取决于其他影响因素;公路交通设施和区域经济发展在空间上呈现正相关并高度显著,显著性高的地方主要集中在川、云、贵地区;我国区域经济发展不存在α收敛和绝对 β收敛,而引入控制变量后,条件β收敛显著.说明公路交通设施的发展能够促进区域经济发展.
為描述公路交通設施的空間分佈狀態,評價其與經濟髮展的空間相關效應,引入空間計量經濟學分析中國公路交通設施的空間相關性和收斂性,探討其與區域經濟髮展的關繫.結果錶明,中國公路交通設施在空間上存在顯著的空間自相關性,且顯著性不斷增彊,呈現齣明顯的空間集聚特徵,東部沿海地區及中部的長江流域地區聚集程度高,西部聚集程度低,東西差異明顯;我國公路交通設施不存在α收斂和絕對 β收斂,而引入控製變量後,存在條件 β收斂併顯著,說明我國公路交通設施髮展還取決于其他影響因素;公路交通設施和區域經濟髮展在空間上呈現正相關併高度顯著,顯著性高的地方主要集中在川、雲、貴地區;我國區域經濟髮展不存在α收斂和絕對 β收斂,而引入控製變量後,條件β收斂顯著.說明公路交通設施的髮展能夠促進區域經濟髮展.
위묘술공로교통설시적공간분포상태,평개기여경제발전적공간상관효응,인입공간계량경제학분석중국공로교통설시적공간상관성화수렴성,탐토기여구역경제발전적관계.결과표명,중국공로교통설시재공간상존재현저적공간자상관성,차현저성불단증강,정현출명현적공간집취특정,동부연해지구급중부적장강류역지구취집정도고,서부취집정도저,동서차이명현;아국공로교통설시불존재α수렴화절대 β수렴,이인입공제변량후,존재조건 β수렴병현저,설명아국공로교통설시발전환취결우기타영향인소;공로교통설시화구역경제발전재공간상정현정상관병고도현저,현저성고적지방주요집중재천、운、귀지구;아국구역경제발전불존재α수렴화절대 β수렴,이인입공제변량후,조건β수렴현저.설명공로교통설시적발전능구촉진구역경제발전.
The spatial econometrics theory and method is applied to analysis the spatial difference and correlation between highway and economic development in China. The conclusions are that, there is obvious spatial correlation and convergence between highway and economic development in China. The significance of it becomes more and more strength and has a striking spatial aggregation. The aggregation degree of eastern coastal area and central area of the Yangtze River is much higher than the West of China, and has significant difference between them. Highway traffic infrastructure do not have sigma convergence and absolute beta convergence. But when applies in control variable, it has significant conditional beta convergence. Highway traffic infrastructure and the regional economy development have highly significant positive spatial correlation. And the significant high place mainly in Sichuan, Yunnan and Guizhou. The regional economic development has no sigma convergence and absolute beta convergence, but has obvious conditional beta convergence. It illustrates that the development of highway transportation infrastructure can promote the regional economic development.