CAJ | 학술논문

为了动态分析制造类企业供应链可靠性,利用马尔科夫过程刻画了制造类企业在供应商供货时效、制造商生产速率及库存策略不确定情况下的供应链可靠性评估模型,提出了供应链可靠性评价方法.通过模型及算例分析,得出结论:供应链系统的失效率随供应商供货时长参数增加而减少,可靠度随供货时长参数增加而增加.供应链系统的失效率随生产时长参数的增加而增加,可靠度随其增加而减少.据此提出企业供应链可靠性管理的建议,供企业决策者参考.
위료동태분석제조류기업공응련가고성,이용마이과부과정각화료제조류기업재공응상공화시효、제조상생산속솔급고존책략불학정정황하적공응련가고성평고모형,제출료공응련가고성평개방법.통과모형급산례분석,득출결론:공응련계통적실효솔수공응상공화시장삼수증가이감소,가고도수공화시장삼수증가이증가.공응련계통적실효솔수생산시장삼수적증가이증가,가고도수기증가이감소.거차제출기업공응련가고성관리적건의,공기업결책자삼고.
In this paper, in order to analyze dynamically the reliability of the supply chains of the manufacturing enterprises, we used the Markov process to formulate the reliability evaluation model of the supply chains, proposed the corresponding evaluation method, applied it to a numerical example, and at the end, presented the suggestions to improve the supply chain reliability of these enterprises.