CAJ | 학술논문

本文运用分位数回归模型探讨了供给因素、需求因素、新兴市场经济国家石油供给与需求、美元汇率对国际石油价格的影响。实证分析结果表明不同的分位点得到不同的回归分析模型，即不同影响因素的平均影响效果。这为个人和机构投资者在石油领域的决策提供支持。
본문운용분위수회귀모형탐토료공급인소、수구인소、신흥시장경제국가석유공급여수구、미원회솔대국제석유개격적영향。실증분석결과표명불동적분위점득도불동적회귀분석모형，즉불동영향인소적평균영향효과。저위개인화궤구투자자재석유영역적결책제공지지。
This paper uses the quantile regression model to discuss the supply and demand factors, the supply and demand of the oil for emerging market economies and the impact of dollar currency rate to the international oil price. The empirical results show that different sub-sites get a different regression models, namely the average impact of the effect from different factors. This provides support of decision-making for individuals and institutional investors in the oil sector .