环境科学与管理
環境科學與管理
배경과학여관리
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND MANAGEMENT
2015年
8期
30-33
,共4页
入海污染物%经济增长%库兹涅茨曲线
入海汙染物%經濟增長%庫玆涅茨麯線
입해오염물%경제증장%고자열자곡선
pollutants into the sea%economic growth%Kuznets Curve
根据江苏省灌河沿岸市县2004年－2012年的经济增长与环境质量的相关数据，建立环境指标排放量与GDP关系的计量模型。结果分析表明：入海污染的排放与GDP之间存在库兹涅茨关系，入海污染物中COD、营养盐（主要为氨氮、磷酸盐氮、亚硝酸盐氮、磷）、重金属、石油类、砷的含量随着GDP的增加呈现出上升趋势，与人均GDP的回归分析显示出二者之间存在密切关系。灌河流域环境问题严峻，亟待解决。应进一步加强环境执法和环境治理力度，以确保环境问题得到解决。
根據江囌省灌河沿岸市縣2004年－2012年的經濟增長與環境質量的相關數據，建立環境指標排放量與GDP關繫的計量模型。結果分析錶明：入海汙染的排放與GDP之間存在庫玆涅茨關繫，入海汙染物中COD、營養鹽（主要為氨氮、燐痠鹽氮、亞硝痠鹽氮、燐）、重金屬、石油類、砷的含量隨著GDP的增加呈現齣上升趨勢，與人均GDP的迴歸分析顯示齣二者之間存在密切關繫。灌河流域環境問題嚴峻，亟待解決。應進一步加彊環境執法和環境治理力度，以確保環境問題得到解決。
근거강소성관하연안시현2004년－2012년적경제증장여배경질량적상관수거，건립배경지표배방량여GDP관계적계량모형。결과분석표명：입해오염적배방여GDP지간존재고자열자관계，입해오염물중COD、영양염（주요위안담、린산염담、아초산염담、린）、중금속、석유류、신적함량수착GDP적증가정현출상승추세，여인균GDP적회귀분석현시출이자지간존재밀절관계。관하류역배경문제엄준，극대해결。응진일보가강배경집법화배경치리력도，이학보배경문제득도해결。
According to the statistical data on economic growth and environmental quality of Guanhe River , Jiangsu Province from 2004 to 2012, the econometric model is establish between environmental indicators emissions and GDP.The results showed that Kuznets relationship exists between economic growth and sea pollution fluxes, pollutants into the sea, COD, nutrients (main-ly ammonia, phosphate nitrogen, nitrite nitrogen, nitrite, phosphorus), heavy metals, petroleum, are showing a rising trend with the increase of GDP, and with per capita GDP regression analysis shows that there is a close relationship between the two.Conclu-sions indicate that a serious environmental problem must be solved in Guanhe River .Recommendations were made on Jiangsu Province environmental sector to further improve the environmental policy, tightening law enforcement, increasing penalties, in-creaseing investment.
