CAJ | 학술논문

依据水资源利用与产业结构间的作用关系特征，阐述了区域水资源利用主要驱动因素应包括用水强度因素、产业结构因素、经济水平因素、人口规模因素等，以及不同因素对水资源利用具有明显相异的影响效应。在比较分析相关因素分解方法特点的基础上，提出了基于LMDI法的区域水资源利用驱动因素分析与评价方法；通过应用此评价方法于江苏沿海开发区典型区域－盐城市的水资源利用进行驱动因素计算分析，得出盐城市三大产业发展与调整的政策原则，即加强第一产业，调整改造第二产业，加快发展第三产业，使第三产业逐步成为国民经济的主导产业；同时积极发展节水型经济产业，降低单产用水量和耗水量以实现经济发展从传统的外延式自然资源消耗型向内涵式自然资源增长型的转变。
의거수자원이용여산업결구간적작용관계특정，천술료구역수자원이용주요구동인소응포괄용수강도인소、산업결구인소、경제수평인소、인구규모인소등，이급불동인소대수자원이용구유명현상이적영향효응。재비교분석상관인소분해방법특점적기출상，제출료기우LMDI법적구역수자원이용구동인소분석여평개방법；통과응용차평개방법우강소연해개발구전형구역－염성시적수자원이용진행구동인소계산분석，득출염성시삼대산업발전여조정적정책원칙，즉가강제일산업，조정개조제이산업，가쾌발전제삼산업，사제삼산업축보성위국민경제적주도산업；동시적겁발전절수형경제산업，강저단산용수량화모수량이실현경제발전종전통적외연식자연자원소모형향내함식자연자원증장형적전변。
According to the characteristics of relationships between water resources utilization and industrial structure ,it is consid‐ered that the driving factors of regional water resources utilization should mainly contain intensity of water utilization ,industrial structure ,economic development level and population scale etc .,and various factors have different effects on the utilization of water resources .The assessment model on driving factors of regional water resources utilization is proposed based on the Logarithmic Mean divisia Index (LMDI) model ,a factor analysis approach .Through the application of the model to driving factors study of Yancheng City ,which is a typical region in Jiangsu Coastal District ,principal policy for three major industries'development of Yancheng are obtained .That is to say ,strengthen the primary industry ,adjust the second industry ,and speed up the development of the third in‐dustry ,and make the third industry gradually become the leading industry of the national economy .Meanwhile ,Yancheng should vigorously develop water-saving industries and reduce the unit consumption of water ,for making the traditional economic increase in denotative natural resource consumption change to the connotative growth of natural resources .