CAJ | 학술논문

为了确定湖北西部植烟区的气象灾害风险程度，根据灾害学系统理论，从致灾因子、孕灾环境、承灾体和防灾减灾能力4个子系统出发，综合考虑气候条件、地理地形、社会经济状况等多个因素，利用GIS平台对鄂西烟草种植气象灾害风险进行评价与区划。结果表明，鄂西北地区气象灾害危险性东高西低，南北向无明显规律，而鄂西南地区是南高北低；鄂西南巴东和恩施烟草易损性较小，而鄂西北的枣阳和丹江口市易损性较大；鄂西南北部地区的气象风险低于南部地区，而鄂西北南部地区气象风险较小，东部气象风险最大；神农架局部地区和鹤峰、丹江口市东部等地的气象风险最严重。总体而言，鄂西地区适宜种植烟草，尽管存在风险，但是大部分地区风险等级在中等及中等以下，这对指导当地合理规划烟草种植和生产具有重要意义。
위료학정호북서부식연구적기상재해풍험정도，근거재해학계통이론，종치재인자、잉재배경、승재체화방재감재능력4개자계통출발，종합고필기후조건、지리지형、사회경제상황등다개인소，이용GIS평태대악서연초충식기상재해풍험진행평개여구화。결과표명，악서북지구기상재해위험성동고서저，남북향무명현규률，이악서남지구시남고북저；악서남파동화은시연초역손성교소，이악서북적조양화단강구시역손성교대；악서남북부지구적기상풍험저우남부지구，이악서북남부지구기상풍험교소，동부기상풍험최대；신농가국부지구화학봉、단강구시동부등지적기상풍험최엄중。총체이언，악서지구괄의충식연초，진관존재풍험，단시대부분지구풍험등급재중등급중등이하，저대지도당지합리규화연초충식화생산구유중요의의。
Based on previous disaster science researches, we assessed and regionalized meteorological disasters via GIS in order to identify the degree of meteorological disaster risk in tobacco-planting areas of western Hubei. The assessment process was composed of four subsystems including disaster inducing factors, disaster-forming environment, disaster-bearing body and the capability of natural disaster prevention and reduction. The results showed that the risk of meteorological disaster in the eastern areas is higher than the western areas in northwest Hubei. In southwest Hubei meteorological disaster risk is high in the south but low in the north. The vulnerability of tobacco planting is lower in southwest Hubei Badong and Enshi city and higher in northwest Hubei Zaoyang and Danjiangkou city. The meteorological risk in the north is lower than in the south of southwest Hubei. In northwest Hubei, meteorological risk is lower in southern regions and higher in eastern regions. Meteorological risk is the highest in some regions of Shennongjia and Hefeng, eastern Danjiangkou city. Overall, western Hubei is suitable for planting tobacco with risk levels at or below medium in most regions. Results from this study are important for planting reginaliation and production of tobacco.