CAJ | 학술논문

目的：分析北京市西城区社区卫生资源配置现状，预测并探讨2020年社区卫生资源配置规模。方法：利用人口预测方法预测西城区2020年常住人口规模，利用指标法、需要和需求法预测西城区社区卫生资源配置情况。结果：到2020年西城区最多需要社区卫生服务机构67所、执业医师人员194名、注册护士人员239名；按照需要和需求预测法分析，需要门诊医师1079－1737名，高于目前提供的社区卫生服务人力资源。结论：西城区社区医疗卫生资源配置的发展方向应从单纯增加机构、卫生人员数量，转变为更加注重资源在各街道间分布的均衡性，根据各街道的人口特点，提升社区卫生服务水平。
목적：분석북경시서성구사구위생자원배치현상，예측병탐토2020년사구위생자원배치규모。방법：이용인구예측방법예측서성구2020년상주인구규모，이용지표법、수요화수구법예측서성구사구위생자원배치정황。결과：도2020년서성구최다수요사구위생복무궤구67소、집업의사인원194명、주책호사인원239명；안조수요화수구예측법분석，수요문진의사1079－1737명，고우목전제공적사구위생복무인력자원。결론：서성구사구의료위생자원배치적발전방향응종단순증가궤구、위생인원수량，전변위경가주중자원재각가도간분포적균형성，근거각가도적인구특점，제승사구위생복무수평。
Objective:To predict the scale of resource allocation for community health service in 2020 by analyzing the status of Xicheng Dis-trict in Beijing.Methods:Using Population Prediction Method to calculate population of Xicheng District.Indicators Method, Need and Demand Method were used to predict the situation of resource allocation for community health services.Results:The prediction showed that, there are 67 community health institutions in 2020, 194 medical practitioners and 239 registered nurses needed in Xicheng District and 1079-1737 Clinic doc-tors needed by Community Health Centre according to the Need and Demand Method.Conclusion:The development direction of community health resource allocation in Xicheng District should change from increasing the number of institutions and medical staff simply to emphasizing on the bal-anced distribution of resources among the streets and improve the community health service according to the demographic characteristics of streets.