CAJ | 학술논문

针对现行起飞驾驶误差系数的平均值确定法偏于不安全的问题，运用数理统计的理论和方法对起飞驾驶误差系数的分布规律进行了研究，提出了基于可靠性的起飞驾驶误差系数确定方法。对某型飞机分别用平均值法和可靠性法确定起飞驾驶误差系数进行跑道长度设计，平均值法设计的跑道长度只能以50％的概率保证飞机安全起飞，可靠性法设计的跑道长度却能以90％的概率保证飞机安全起飞，同时可靠性法设计的跑道长度只比平均值法设计的跑道长度多10％，这表明可靠性法确定起飞驾驶误差系数比平均值法更科学合理。
침대현행기비가사오차계수적평균치학정법편우불안전적문제，운용수리통계적이론화방법대기비가사오차계수적분포규률진행료연구，제출료기우가고성적기비가사오차계수학정방법。대모형비궤분별용평균치법화가고성법학정기비가사오차계수진행포도장도설계，평균치법설계적포도장도지능이50％적개솔보증비궤안전기비，가고성법설계적포도장도각능이90％적개솔보증비궤안전기비，동시가고성법설계적포도장도지비평균치법설계적포도장도다10％，저표명가고성법학정기비가사오차계수비평균치법경과학합리。
Average value method used in the current confirmation method of aircraft take-off drive error coefficient was unsafe .In order to remedy the situation ,the distribution of a certain aircraft take-off drive error coefficient was studied by means of mathematical statistics , and a confirmation method of aircraft take-off drive error coefficient based on reliability was put forward .Two runway lengthes were calculated through the aircraft take-off drive error coefficients which were confirmed by average value method and reliability method respectively .The runway length calculated by average value method can only ensure the safety of take-off with the probability of 50%, while the runway length calculated by reliability method can ensure the safety of take-off with the probability of 90%.Furthermore,The runway length calculated by reliability method is 10%more than that designed by average value method .This indicate that reliabil-ity method is more reasonable than average value method in confirmation of aircraft take-off drive error coefficient .