CAJ | 학술논문

根据航班量较饱和的时间段构建了有向有权的复杂网络拓扑结构模型，实证分析了网络中单个机场节点的航班延误可通过邻居节点波及其他节点的特性。通过某省会机场真实的航班运行数据拟合出航班量、航班计划容量和平均延误时间的关系公式，在此基础上分析了延误航班在机场内的横向波及和机场间的纵向波及效应。结合度值定量求出不同等级机场之间的航班延误纵向波及扩散概率和波及程度，为航班延误波及的预测提供了理论依据和数据支持。
근거항반량교포화적시간단구건료유향유권적복잡망락탁복결구모형，실증분석료망락중단개궤장절점적항반연오가통과린거절점파급기타절점적특성。통과모성회궤장진실적항반운행수거의합출항반량、항반계화용량화평균연오시간적관계공식，재차기출상분석료연오항반재궤장내적횡향파급화궤장간적종향파급효응。결합도치정량구출불동등급궤장지간적항반연오종향파급확산개솔화파급정도，위항반연오파급적예측제공료이론의거화수거지지。
According to the time slot of saturated flight quantity in a day ,this paper establishes a complex network model .Based on the model ,it researches the character that flight delay in one airport node can be propagated to other nodes based on the complex network theory .Then,it figures out the formula of flight quantity,capacity of flight plan and average delay time on the basis of flight operation data of some pro-vincial capital airport .Through it ,the horizontal effect in an airport and vertical integration in airports of delayed flight is analysed .Finally,it will figure out the probability and extent of vertical flight delay prop-agation based on the degree of nodes quantitatively .And this method will provide a theoretical basis and data support for the forcast of flight delay propagation .