CAJ | 학술논문

源约束下的经济可持续增长是可持续发展理论的重要研究课题,为此将耗竭性资源纳入内生经济增长模型,并运用最优控制方法研究稳态的经济可持续最优增长路径。讨论模型的平衡增长解,并在平衡增长解的基础上,进一步探讨实现可持续最优增长路径的必要条件,即物质产品消费的跨期替代弹性、人力资本的积累效率与时间贴现率之比应满足一定的动态关系。通过对影响经济可持续增长的变量进行比较静态分析和模拟检验发现,消费跨期替代弹性、时间贴现率、人力资本积累效率和物质产品部门的产出弹性会对稳态下的经济增长率和资源消耗速度产生影响,提出了相应的政策启示。
원약속하적경제가지속증장시가지속발전이론적중요연구과제,위차장모갈성자원납입내생경제증장모형,병운용최우공제방법연구은태적경제가지속최우증장로경。토론모형적평형증장해,병재평형증장해적기출상,진일보탐토실현가지속최우증장로경적필요조건,즉물질산품소비적과기체대탄성、인력자본적적루효솔여시간첩현솔지비응만족일정적동태관계。통과대영향경제가지속증장적변량진행비교정태분석화모의검험발현,소비과기체대탄성、시간첩현솔、인력자본적루효솔화물질산품부문적산출탄성회대은태하적경제증장솔화자원소모속도산생영향,제출료상응적정책계시。
Sustainable growth with resource constraint is an important research task of the sustainable development theory.The method of optimal control is employed to research on the optimal economy growth path in the steady condition and to obtain the balance growth solutions in endogenous economy growth model with the elements of resource consumption.Further,the prerequisites to sustainable optimal growth path are discussed according to these solutions——dynamic relations must be satisfied with both consumer s subst...