中国人口资源与环境
中國人口資源與環境
중국인구자원여배경
China Polulation.Resources and Environment
2005年
6期
46~49
,共null页
张凌云 毛显强 涂莹燕 胡涛
張凌雲 毛顯彊 塗瑩燕 鬍濤
장릉운 모현강 도형연 호도
贸易自由化 环境影响 计量经济分析
貿易自由化 環境影響 計量經濟分析
무역자유화 배경영향 계량경제분석
trade liberalization; environmental impact; econometric analysis
入世后,中国将根据WTO的要求对农业贸易相关政策进行调整和改革,这将改变国内农业生产,进而影响到农村生态环境.在此背景下,本文首先界定了种植业产品贸易自由化的涵义,并对其环境影响途径进行分析,然后利用计量经济方法着重分析了贸易自由化对国内种植业生产中化肥、农药使用的影响.研究结果表明,在种植业产品的贸易自由化中,进口渗透作用对缓解国内化肥、农药污染影响最着,而出口导向作用影响不明显.文章最后给出了减缓农产品贸易自由化的不利影响,发挥其有利影响的政策建议.
入世後,中國將根據WTO的要求對農業貿易相關政策進行調整和改革,這將改變國內農業生產,進而影響到農村生態環境.在此揹景下,本文首先界定瞭種植業產品貿易自由化的涵義,併對其環境影響途徑進行分析,然後利用計量經濟方法著重分析瞭貿易自由化對國內種植業生產中化肥、農藥使用的影響.研究結果錶明,在種植業產品的貿易自由化中,進口滲透作用對緩解國內化肥、農藥汙染影響最著,而齣口導嚮作用影響不明顯.文章最後給齣瞭減緩農產品貿易自由化的不利影響,髮揮其有利影響的政策建議.
입세후,중국장근거WTO적요구대농업무역상관정책진행조정화개혁,저장개변국내농업생산,진이영향도농촌생태배경.재차배경하,본문수선계정료충식업산품무역자유화적함의,병대기배경영향도경진행분석,연후이용계량경제방법착중분석료무역자유화대국내충식업생산중화비、농약사용적영향.연구결과표명,재충식업산품적무역자유화중,진구삼투작용대완해국내화비、농약오염영향최착,이출구도향작용영향불명현.문장최후급출료감완농산품무역자유화적불리영향,발휘기유리영향적정책건의.
China' s accession to WTO brings adjustments and reforms to Chinese agricultural trade related policies, which will on domestic agricultural production, and further on rural ecological environment. The paper presents an econometric analysis of rural environmental impacts of crop trade liberalization after China's accession to WTO, especially on chemical inputs change caused by free trade. Firstly, the meaning of crop trade liberalization is explained and the linkages between environment and crop trade liberalization are identified against the background of China' s accession to WTO. According to China' s accession commitments and rules of WTO, crop trade liberalization mainly means market access of China' s food market and adjusting domestic crop-related support policies, which will impact on rural environment through scale effects, structural effects and technology effects. Then, the authors establish an econometric model to analyze environment impacts of crop trade liberalization, with specific focus on chemical inputs, including fertilizers and pesticides. The results indicate that in trade liberalization, import penetration of crops is helpful to decrease domestic chemical inputs obviously, but export orientation impacts on domestic chemical inputs slightly. The results can be explained by China' s current foreign trade structure of crop products. Labor intensive products, including fruit and vegetables, are major export crop products, so expansion of crops export has little effect on chemical inputs in domestic crop production. However, land intensive products, including grains, cotton, oil, sugar, are major import crop products, so expansion of crops import is obviously helpful to alleviate environmental pollution caused by chemical inputs. Lastly, two policy suggestions are proposed to harmonize the crop trade liberalization and the environmental protection. The first one is to loose grain import control appropriately on the premise of grain security. More import of land intensive crops will accelerate the environment-friendly transformation of domestic agricultural production structure. The second one is to internalize environmental cost of crop production. Higher cost of environment-unfriendly input may induce farmers to reduce chemical inputs through accepting advanced technology.