财经科学
財經科學
재경과학
Finance and Economics
2006年
2期
75~83
,共null页
转型时期 消费行为 不确定性 过度敏感性
轉型時期 消費行為 不確定性 過度敏感性
전형시기 소비행위 불학정성 과도민감성
period of transition; consumer behavior; uncertainty; excess sensitivity
本文运用现代消费理论对中国的农民消费行为进行研究,在对模型的数据进行平稳性检验的基础上,建立误差修正模型作为计量模型,认为农民面临的不确定性、农民消费的过度敏感性和农民消费行为的生命周期特征是影响农民消费行为的重要因素。影响农民消费行为的这些因素实际上反映了农村市场化进程的滞后,必须积极推动以市场化为核心的农村制度改革。
本文運用現代消費理論對中國的農民消費行為進行研究,在對模型的數據進行平穩性檢驗的基礎上,建立誤差脩正模型作為計量模型,認為農民麵臨的不確定性、農民消費的過度敏感性和農民消費行為的生命週期特徵是影響農民消費行為的重要因素。影響農民消費行為的這些因素實際上反映瞭農村市場化進程的滯後,必鬚積極推動以市場化為覈心的農村製度改革。
본문운용현대소비이론대중국적농민소비행위진행연구,재대모형적수거진행평은성검험적기출상,건립오차수정모형작위계량모형,인위농민면림적불학정성、농민소비적과도민감성화농민소비행위적생명주기특정시영향농민소비행위적중요인소。영향농민소비행위적저사인소실제상반영료농촌시장화진정적체후,필수적겁추동이시장화위핵심적농촌제도개혁。
This article uses the modem consumption theory to study Chinese farmer's consumer behavior and sets up error - correction model as econometric model on the basis of implementing stafionarity test to the data of the model, and concludes that the uncertainty, excess sensitivity and the farmer's life - cycle characteristic are important factors to affect farmer's consumer behavior. Finally, the author points out that the factors influencing farmer's consumer behavior reflect actually the lag of the rural market- oriented process and it is necessary to actively promote the rural system reform with marketlization as the core.