CAJ | 학술논문

汇率制度的制定和实施已经直接影响到一个国家的经济发展。经过几十年研究，人们已经认识到没有哪一种汇率制度能够适应所有国家和所有时期，汇率制度由经济基础决定并反作用于经济社会。对照美国、日本、中国内地及香港特区的汇率制度现状及其对经济的影响，可以推断，美元、日元和人民币在未来应当以定期调整的均衡汇率作为中心汇率，实行汇率目标区制度；香港特区作为中国不可分割的一部分，港币最终将进入人民币区域。
회솔제도적제정화실시이경직접영향도일개국가적경제발전。경과궤십년연구，인문이경인식도몰유나일충회솔제도능구괄응소유국가화소유시기，회솔제도유경제기출결정병반작용우경제사회。대조미국、일본、중국내지급향항특구적회솔제도현상급기대경제적영향，가이추단，미원、일원화인민폐재미래응당이정기조정적균형회솔작위중심회솔，실행회솔목표구제도；향항특구작위중국불가분할적일부분，항폐최종장진입인민폐구역。
The establishment and implementing of foreign exchange rate system has direct influence on a country＇s economic development. After decades of study, it is realized that no foreign exchange rate system can satisfy all countries at all times, and such a system is decided by the economic basis, and influences the econ- omy and society in turn. In this paper, the author analyzes the status quo of the exchange rate systems in the USA, Japan, mainland China and HK and their influences on economy, and suggests that US dollar, Japanese yen and RMB should take the regularly adjusted equilibrium rate as the central rate and establish a system of the exchange rate goal area while H. K. dollar would be integrated into the RMB area as Hong Kong is an integral part of China.