CAJ | 학술논문

农村劳动力转移是我国实现工业化必须面对的重大课题，也是解决我国“三农”问题的根本途径。本文运用动态宏观经济学的递归方法并结合推拉理论，通过所建立的模型表明：城镇的拉力，特别是城镇工业技术进步，是农村劳动力转移的根本动因。而基于宏观经济变量的logit模型和基于微观经济变量的描述性分析都很好地验证了该结论。研究同时表明，加强农村基础文化教育对我国农村劳动力转移具有深远的意义；性别、家庭收入水平、区位等园素的差异也对农村劳动力转移有较明显的影响。
농촌노동력전이시아국실현공업화필수면대적중대과제，야시해결아국“삼농”문제적근본도경。본문운용동태굉관경제학적체귀방법병결합추랍이론，통과소건립적모형표명：성진적랍력，특별시성진공업기술진보，시농촌노동력전이적근본동인。이기우굉관경제변량적logit모형화기우미관경제변량적묘술성분석도흔호지험증료해결론。연구동시표명，가강농촌기출문화교육대아국농촌노동력전이구유심원적의의；성별、가정수입수평、구위등완소적차이야대농촌노동력전이유교명현적영향。
Farmer labor emigration is an important question we have to deal with in our industrialization. It is also a basic way to solve three questions concern agriculture, rural area and farmer in China. Based on the push-pull theories, this paper tries to build Malthus and Solow model by using recursive approach in Dynastic Macroeconomics. This model shows that push comes from the town, especially the industry technological development in the urban area is the key reason caused farmer labors emigrate from rural area to urban area. This conclusion has also been improved by the logit econometric model based on the Macroeconomic variables and descriptive analysis based on Microeconomic variables. The study also shows that strengthen universal education will definitely have a deep influenee on this emigration. Besides, sex, family income and region gap will affect farmer labor＇ s emigration.