CAJ | 학술논문

产业结构演进对一个国家或地区经济社会发展起着重要的作用，而产业结构的协整分析又是一种有效的认识工具。云南省1978-2004年出口、进口及人均收入对产业结构的促进作用的协整分析表明：四个变量之间存在惟一的协整关系，出口对产业结构升级有正相关作用，进口则阻碍产业结构升级。而人均收入对产业结构的影响不明显，产业结构成长的“本质变量”逐渐增大。
산업결구연진대일개국가혹지구경제사회발전기착중요적작용，이산업결구적협정분석우시일충유효적인식공구。운남성1978-2004년출구、진구급인균수입대산업결구적촉진작용적협정분석표명：사개변량지간존재유일적협정관계，출구대산업결구승급유정상관작용，진구칙조애산업결구승급。이인균수입대산업결구적영향불명현，산업결구성장적“본질변량”축점증대。
The development of industrial structure plays an important role in the socio - economic development of a region or a country, and the cointegration analysis of industrial structure is a good tool for correct understanding. The cointegration analysis of the impacts of the import, export and per capita income on the industrial structure from 1978 to 2004 in Yunnan Province has reached the following results： There exists one cointegration relation between the four variables; export has a positive impact on the upgrading of the industrial structure while import has a negative impact; per capita income has little impact; the ＂ essential variable＂ of the development of industrial structure is on the increase.